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Danubio vs Penarol prediction — Copa Uruguay

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
Danubio €5.75m
Full time 1 : 1
Penarol €28.90m
1 2.65
X 3.05
2 2.92

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
88%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.55 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Danubio 16%@2.65
Draw 13%@3.05
Penarol 71%@2.92
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 25%@4.80
Under 2.5 75%@1.60
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 30%@1.95
No 70%@1.80
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 74%@1.71
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DanubioModelPenarol
48%Ball possession52%
7Shots11
3Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
DanubioRealPenarol
55%Ball possession45%
8Shots9
4Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks2
DanubioReal · ModelPenarol
55%48%Ball possession45%52%
87Shots911
43Shots on goal65
45Corner kicks25

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DanubioPer gamePenarol
0.7Goals for / game2.2
1.4Goals against / game0.7
52%Ball possession52%
6.7Shots per game10.5
5.3Corners per game5.0

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DanubioRatePenarol
10%Wins70%
60%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.570%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Danubio WLDDL
W 4 Oct Danubio Cerro Largo 2 1 2.02 3.60
L 27 Sept Defensor Sp. Danubio 1 0 2.28 3.10
D 20 Sept Danubio Wanderers 1 1 2.20 3.30
D 13 Sept Juventud Danubio 1 1 2.05 3.65
L 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
L 2 Sept Torque Danubio 2 0 2.05 3.60
L 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
W 26 Aug Danubio Atenas 3 2 1.88 4.25
D 23 Aug Danubio Racing M 0 0 3.25 2.28
D 14 Aug Boston River Danubio 0 0 2.42 3.05
Penarol WDWWW
W 4 Oct Racing M Penarol 0 1 3.55 2.12
D 1 Oct Torque Penarol 1 1 3.20 2.25
W 26 Sept Penarol Boston River 2 1 1.50 6.50
W 19 Sept Cerro Penarol 1 2 6.40 1.53
W 13 Sept Penarol Albion 3 1 1.42 7.60
W 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
D 3 Sept Atenas Penarol 2 2 5.50 1.67
L 30 Aug Penarol Nacional 0 1 2.27 3.25
W 27 Aug Penarol Torque 1 0 2.25 3.50
D 22 Aug Maldonado Penarol 0 0 4.20 2.02

Past meetings

Danubio
0·1·5
Penarol
  • Sept 2026 Danubio 0 - 4 Penarol
  • Mar 2026 Penarol 1 - 1 Danubio
  • Oct 2025 Penarol 2 - 0 Danubio
  • Apr 2025 Danubio 0 - 1 Penarol
  • Oct 2024 Danubio 0 - 1 Penarol
  • Apr 2024 Penarol 2 - 0 Danubio

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Maldonado 4 +6 10
2 Boston River 4 +4 10
3 Central Esp. 4 +5 8
4 Nacional 4 +2 8
5 Cerrito 4 +2 7
6 Juventud 4 +1 7
7 Plaza Colonia 4 +1 7
8 Liverpool M. 3 +4 6
9 Penarol 4 +1 6
10 Albion 4 +1 6
11 Torque 4 +1 5
12 River Plate 4 +1 5
13 Rentistas 4 0 5
14 Danubio 4 -1 5
15 Cerro Largo 3 0 4
16 Racing M 3 -4 3
17 Atenas 3 -1 2
18 Defensor Sp. 3 -1 2
19 Wanderers 4 -5 2
20 Oriental 3 -2 1
21 Fenix 3 -3 1
22 Cerro 3 -3 1
23 Colon 3 -5 1
24 Progreso 3 -4 0
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