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Cusco vs FBC Melgar prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Cusco €8.98m
Full time 0 : 1
FBC Melgar €10.21m
1 2.07
X 3.50
2 3.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
75%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.26 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Cusco 36%@2.07
Draw 43%@3.50
FBC Melgar 21%@3.55
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.26
Under 1.5 25%@3.78
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 68%@1.69
No 32%@2.12
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.55
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CuscoModelFBC Melgar
1.67xG1.48
49%Ball possession51%
15Shots15
7Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made9
CuscoRealFBC Melgar
0.43xG1.94
59%Ball possession41%
9Shots19
2Shots on goal7
9Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards2
0Offside calls1
9Fouls made6
CuscoReal · ModelFBC Melgar
0.431.67xG1.941.48
59%49%Ball possession41%51%
915Shots1915
27Shots on goal77
95Corner kicks55
32Yellow cards22
01Offside calls12
912Fouls made69

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CuscoPer gameFBC Melgar
2.1Goals for / game1.4
1.8Goals against / game0.8
55%Ball possession60%
12.8Shots per game17.9
4.8Corners per game5.8
1.55Expected goals1.77

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CuscoRateFBC Melgar
50%Wins40%
100%Over 1.560%
80%Over 2.550%
80%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Cusco WWWLW
W 19 Sept FC Cajamarca Cusco 1 2 2.87 2.35
W 6 Sept Cusco Moquegua 2 0 1.27 11.50
W 31 Aug Cienciano Cusco 1 2 2.32 3.05
L 23 Aug Deportivo Cusco 4 1 2.73 2.70
W 15 Aug Cusco Juan Pablo II 2 0 1.33 8.00
L 7 Aug Comercian Cusco 3 1 2.57 2.70
W 2 Aug Cusco Cajamarca 4 1 1.50 6.10
L 25 Jul Universitario Cusco 2 1 1.41 7.10
W 19 Jul Cusco Alianza Atl. 4 1 1.50 6.10
L 29 Jun Cusco Cienciano 1 2 2.77 2.52
FBC Melgar DWLDW
D 20 Sept FBC Melgar Sport Boys 1 1 1.42 7.50
W 7 Sept FBC Melgar ADT 3 0 1.42 8.00
L 1 Sept Grau FBC Melgar 1 0 2.70 2.80
D 23 Aug FBC Melgar Alianza Lima 1 1 2.18 3.55
W 15 Aug Los Chankas FBC Melgar 0 3 3.35 2.23
L 9 Aug FBC Melgar FC Cajamarca 2 4 1.27 10.50
D 2 Aug Moquegua FBC Melgar 0 0 4.50 1.86
W 26 Jul FBC Melgar Sporting 2 1 1.74 4.80
W 18 Jul Cienciano FBC Melgar 1 3 2.00 3.60
D 29 Jun FBC Melgar Moquegua 0 0 1.64 5.80

Past meetings

Cusco
3·0·2
FBC Melgar
  • Apr 2026 FBC Melgar 1 - 3 Cusco
  • Jul 2025 FBC Melgar 0 - 2 Cusco
  • Feb 2025 Cusco 0 - 1 FBC Melgar
  • Jul 2024 Cusco 0 - 3 FBC Melgar
  • Jan 2024 FBC Melgar 2 - 3 Cusco

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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