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Cruz Azul vs Toluca prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 2.57
X 3.50
2 2.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
70%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.52 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Cruz Azul 25%@2.57
Draw 19%@3.50
Toluca 56%@2.60
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 63%@1.60
Under 2.5 37%@2.72
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@1.48
No 55%@2.55
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 63%@1.74
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:3 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Cruz AzulModelToluca
1.34xG1.83
49%Ball possession51%
17Shots15
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
Cruz AzulRealToluca
1.55xG1.94
49%Ball possession51%
17Shots18
7Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks5
4Yellow cards1
3Offside calls3
14Fouls made16
Cruz AzulReal · ModelToluca
1.551.34xG1.941.83
49%49%Ball possession51%51%
1717Shots1815
75Shots on goal75
45Corner kicks55
42Yellow cards12
31Offside calls32
1412Fouls made1612

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Cruz AzulPer gameToluca
1.3Goals for / game2.1
1.4Goals against / game0.5
54%Ball possession58%
17.0Shots per game16.3
5.6Corners per game4.9
1.26Expected goals2.25

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Cruz AzulRateToluca
50%Wins70%
70%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Cruz Azul LLWWW
L 20 Sept Monterrey Cruz Azul 1 0 2.27 3.00
L 17 Sept Inter Miami(Usa) Cruz Azul(Mex) 2 0 2.25 2.87
W 13 Sept Cruz Azul Club America 4 3 2.77 2.50
W 7 Sept Cruz Azul Santos Laguna 1 0 1.39 7.30
W 29 Aug Necaxa Cruz Azul 1 3 3.70 1.97
L 23 Aug Cruz Azul Atlas 0 2 1.65 5.70
L 17 Aug Club Tijuana Cruz Azul 2 1 3.15 2.35
L 14 Aug Cruz Azul(Mex) Chicago Fire(Usa) 1 2 2.55 3.05
W 10 Aug Cruz Azul New York City 2 1 2.28 3.05
W 7 Aug Cruz Azul Philadelp 1 0 2.45 2.77
Toluca LLWWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Atlante Toluca 0 0 5.90 1.60

Past meetings

Cruz Azul
3·3·0
Toluca
  • Jul 2026 Toluca 1 - 3 Cruz Azul
  • Feb 2026 Toluca 1 - 1 Cruz Azul
  • Aug 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Toluca
  • Apr 2025 Toluca 2 - 2 Cruz Azul
  • Jul 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Toluca
  • Apr 2024 Toluca 0 - 1 Cruz Azul

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4