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Croatia vs England prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 5.00
X 4.10
2 1.78

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.21 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Croatia 16%@5.00
Draw 19%@4.10
England 65%@1.78
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 88%@1.22
Under 1.5 12%@8.95
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.64
No 44%@2.23
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 66%@1.41
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CroatiaModelEngland
1.09xG1.45
48%Ball possession52%
9Shots17
4Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
CroatiaRealEngland
1.38xG6.14
36%Ball possession64%
12Shots19
1Shots on goal10
1Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards0
0Offside calls2
10Fouls made6
CroatiaReal · ModelEngland
1.381.09xG6.141.45
36%48%Ball possession64%52%
129Shots1917
14Shots on goal105
14Corner kicks65
12Yellow cards02
01Offside calls22
1011Fouls made611

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CroatiaPer gameEngland
1.4Goals for / game2.4
1.9Goals against / game1.5
51%Ball possession55%
10.8Shots per game15.3
3.7Corners per game5.2
1.08Expected goals1.62

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CroatiaRateEngland
50%Wins70%
90%Over 1.590%
80%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Croatia LWLWW
L 29 Sept Spain Croatia 4 1 1.28 12.00
W 26 Sept Czechia Croatia 1 2 3.90 2.05
L 3 Jul Portugal Croatia 2 1 1.77 5.65
W 27 Jun Croatia Ghana 2 1 1.90 5.70
W 24 Jun Panama Croatia 0 1 8.50 1.50
L 17 Jun England Croatia 4 2 1.77 5.40
W 7 Jun Croatia Slovenia 2 1 1.44 9.60
L 2 Jun Croatia Belgium 0 2 2.77 2.70
L 1 Apr Brazil Croatia 3 1 1.82 4.35
W 26 Mar Colombia Croatia 1 2 2.20 3.55
England WLWLW
W 29 Sept Czechia England 0 2 9.75 1.37
L 26 Sept England Spain 2 3 3.45 2.27
W 18 Jul France England 4 6 1.88 4.30
L 15 Jul England Argentina 1 2 2.82 3.15
W 11 Jul Norway England 1 2 4.30 1.93
W 6 Jul Mexico England 2 3 3.20 2.60
W 1 Jul England Congo DR 2 1 1.33 14.50
W 27 Jun Panama England 0 2 19.00 1.18
D 23 Jun England Ghana 0 0 1.22 19.00
W 17 Jun England Croatia 4 2 1.77 5.40

Past meetings

Croatia
0·0·1
England
  • Jun 2026 England 4 - 2 Croatia