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Crewe vs Northampton prediction — League Two

League Two · England
Crewe €4.20m
Full time 1 : 0
Northampton €3.65m
1 2.20
X 3.45
2 3.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.40 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Crewe 55%@2.20
Draw 22%@3.45
Northampton 23%@3.20
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 23%@4.32
Under 3.5 77%@1.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.80
No 42%@1.96
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 65%@1.60
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CreweModelNorthampton
1.60xG0.77
57%Ball possession43%
14Shots9
6Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
CreweRealNorthampton
0.50xG0.67
49%Ball possession51%
6Shots15
3Shots on goal6
7Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls0
14Fouls made12
CreweReal · ModelNorthampton
0.501.60xG0.670.77
49%57%Ball possession51%43%
614Shots159
36Shots on goal64
75Corner kicks65
12Yellow cards11
12Offside calls02
1413Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CrewePer gameNorthampton
1.2Goals for / game0.9
1.1Goals against / game1.4
54%Ball possession40%
11.4Shots per game10.2
5.2Corners per game6.0
1.18Expected goals0.77

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CreweRateNorthampton
40%Wins20%
70%Over 1.550%
50%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Crewe WDWDD
W 3 Oct Crewe Bristol Rovers 3 1 2.75 2.55
D 26 Sept Rotherham Crewe 1 1 2.15 3.25
W 22 Sept Crewe Aston Villa U21 4 1 1.46 6.20
D 19 Sept Crewe Shrewsbury 1 1 1.97 3.95
D 12 Sept Colchester Crewe 1 1 2.25 3.20
D 5 Sept Crewe York 1 1 2.85 2.50
D 1 Sept Crewe Walsall 2 2 2.24 2.93
D 29 Aug Port Vale Crewe 0 0 2.27 3.15
L 25 Aug Barnsley Crewe 3 2 1.70 4.90
W 15 Aug Crawley Crewe 0 1 2.65 2.67
Northampton LLWDD
L 19 Sept Northampton Rotherham 0 1 2.65 2.62
L 12 Sept Shrewsbury Northampton 2 0 2.70 2.72
W 5 Sept Northampton Newport 1 0 1.78 4.55
D 1 Sept Northampton Crawley 1 1 1.70 5.00
D 29 Aug Gillingham Northampton 1 1 3.15 2.38
L 18 Aug Northampton Brighton U21 0 3 1.60 4.75
D 15 Aug Northampton Swindon 0 0 2.15 3.25
L 8 Aug Leicester Northampton 1 0 1.30 9.50
W 1 Aug Solihull Moors Northampton 2 4 3.85 1.80
D 28 Jul Cambridge Utd Northampton 0 0 1.93 3.75

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barnet 9 +7 17
2 Salford 10 +3 17
3 York 10 +6 16
4 Walsall 10 +6 16
5 Crewe 10 +4 16
6 Cheltenham 10 +2 16
7 Bristol Rovers 10 0 16
8 Chesterfield 10 +3 15
9 Grimsby 10 +3 14
10 Gillingham 10 +2 14
11 Rochdale 10 -1 14
12 Tranmere 10 0 12
13 Oldham 10 -2 12
14 Swindon 10 -4 12
15 Shrewsbury 10 -5 12
16 Newport 10 0 11
17 Accrington 10 -1 11
18 Rotherham 10 -1 11
19 Fleetwood 10 -1 11
20 Exeter 10 -1 10
21 Colchester 10 -4 9
22 Northampton 9 -3 8
23 Port Vale 9 -6 7
24 Crawley 9 -7 6
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