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Concepcion vs A. Italiano prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Chile
Concepcion €8.26m
Full time 0 : 1
A. Italiano €12.35m
1 2.20
X 3.30
2 3.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.26 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Concepcion 63%@2.20
Draw 19%@3.30
A. Italiano 18%@3.40
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@10.19
Under 3.5 89%@1.26
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.90
No 41%@1.87
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 71%@1.51
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ConcepcionModelA. Italiano
1.16xG1.09
51%Ball possession49%
15Shots10
6Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made10
ConcepcionRealA. Italiano
1.78xG0.32
67%Ball possession33%
21Shots10
6Shots on goal3
10Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
9Fouls made16
ConcepcionReal · ModelA. Italiano
1.781.16xG0.321.09
67%51%Ball possession33%49%
2115Shots1010
66Shots on goal34
104Corner kicks23
22Yellow cards23
21Offside calls32
910Fouls made1610

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ConcepcionPer gameA. Italiano
1.6Goals for / game1.3
0.4Goals against / game1.5
51%Ball possession47%
14.7Shots per game10.9
4.4Corners per game3.5
1.19Expected goals1.19

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ConcepcionRateA. Italiano
80%Wins40%
80%Over 1.570%
20%Over 2.560%
20%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Concepcion LLWWD
L 4 Oct O'Higgins Concepcion 2 0 2.58 2.72
L 1 Oct Concepcion O'Higgins 0 1 2.30 3.30
W 27 Sept Concepcion Curico Unido 2 0 1.47 7.10
W 23 Sept Curico Unido Concepcion 0 4 3.40 2.07
D 13 Sept Colo Colo Concepcion 1 1 1.45 6.90
W 30 Aug Nublense Concepcion 0 1 2.20 3.80
D 23 Aug Concepcion Coquimbo 1 1 3.00 2.52
W 16 Aug Cobresal Concepcion 0 2 2.38 3.05
W 9 Aug Concepcion Concepcion 1 0 2.02 4.20
W 2 Aug Concepcion U. Catolica 3 0 3.30 2.18
A. Italiano LDWLD
L 26 Sept Colo Colo A. Italiano 1 0 1.60 6.00
D 23 Sept A. Italiano Colo Colo 0 0 4.00 1.81
W 14 Sept A. Italiano O'Higgins 1 0 2.82 2.63
L 30 Aug Colo Colo A. Italiano 5 1 1.43 7.70
D 22 Aug A. Italiano Union La Calera 0 0 2.20 3.35
D 16 Aug Everton A. Italiano 1 1 1.87 4.30
D 11 Aug A. Italiano Nublense 2 2 2.35 3.10
W 1 Aug Concepcion A. Italiano 0 1 2.65 2.77
L 26 Jul A. Italiano U. De Chile 1 2 3.70 2.06
W 11 Jul Magallanes A. Italiano 0 1 4.05 1.83

Past meetings

Concepcion
0·1·1
A. Italiano
  • Mar 2026 A. Italiano 3 - 0 Concepción
  • Apr 2025 Concepcion 0 - 0 A. Italiano

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 +28 55
2 U. Catolica 23 +17 42
3 U. De Chile 23 +16 42
4 Palestino 23 +3 36
5 Everton 24 +8 34
6 Concepción 23 0 32
7 Nublense 23 -3 32
8 Huachipato 23 -6 32
9 Limache 23 +6 31
10 Coquimbo 23 0 30
11 La Serena 23 -4 30
12 A. Italiano 22 -8 25
13 O'Higgins 23 -9 25
14 Union La Calera 24 -12 24
15 Concepcion 22 -20 20
16 Cobresal 23 -16 19
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