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Colchester vs Luton prediction — EFL Trophy

EFL Trophy · England
1 4.20
X 4.00
2 1.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
71%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.50 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Colchester 22%@4.20
Draw 23%@4.00
Luton 55%@1.70
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 71%@1.50
Under 2.5 29%@3.67
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 64%@1.52
No 36%@2.40
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 80%@1.36
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ColchesterModelLuton
0.93xG1.57
46%Ball possession54%
9Shots15
4Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made11
ColchesterRealLuton
1.13xG1.27
47%Ball possession53%
10Shots9
3Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks6
4Yellow cards0
3Offside calls2
14Fouls made8
ColchesterReal · ModelLuton
1.130.93xG1.271.57
47%46%Ball possession53%54%
109Shots915
34Shots on goal55
44Corner kicks66
42Yellow cards02
32Offside calls21
1411Fouls made811

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ColchesterPer gameLuton
0.9Goals for / game2.1
1.7Goals against / game1.6
48%Ball possession56%
10.6Shots per game13.7
2.8Corners per game6.2
0.81Expected goals1.71

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ColchesterRateLuton
10%Wins40%
80%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Colchester DLDDL
D 26 Sept Shrewsbury Colchester 2 2 2.48 2.90
L 22 Sept Peterborough Colchester 3 1 1.53 5.25
D 19 Sept Colchester Cheltenham 1 1 2.05 3.70
D 12 Sept Colchester Crewe 1 1 2.25 3.20
L 5 Sept Swindon Colchester 3 1 2.70 2.50
L 1 Sept Bristol Rovers Colchester 2 0 1.90 4.00
W 29 Aug Colchester Rochdale 1 0 2.10 3.55
L 22 Aug Colchester Oldham 0 1 2.65 2.62
D 15 Aug Accrington Colchester 2 2 2.92 2.60
L 8 Aug Colchester Southampton 0 2 9.50 1.29
Luton WLLDW
W 22 Sept Luton Ipswich U21 6 0 1.25 9.00
L 19 Sept Luton Bradford 0 1 2.17 3.40
L 10 Sept Stevenage Luton 2 1 3.30 2.23
D 5 Sept Luton Leyton Orient 1 1 1.62 5.00
W 2 Sept Luton Stockport 2 0 2.70 2.45
L 30 Aug Mansfield Luton 5 2 3.05 2.25
L 27 Aug Chelsea Luton 2 0 1.12 21.00
D 22 Aug Luton Notts County 2 2 1.55 5.80
W 15 Aug Reading Luton 3 4 3.10 2.32
W 8 Aug Gillingham Luton 0 3 4.90 1.68

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.