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Chester vs Merthyr Town prediction — National League - North

National League - North · England
Chester €25.00Th.
Full time 0 : 1
Merthyr Town €125.00Th.
1 1.64
X 4.10
2 4.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.52 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Chester 57%@1.64
Draw 23%@4.10
Merthyr Town 20%@4.60
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 14%@9.34
Under 3.5 86%@1.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 43%@1.65
No 57%@2.22
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@2.78
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ChesterModelMerthyr Town
52%Ball possession48%
11Shots10
5Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks5
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made9
ChesterRealMerthyr Town
26%Ball possession74%
15Shots7
15Shots on goal7
6Corner kicks2
ChesterReal · ModelMerthyr Town
26%52%Ball possession74%48%
1511Shots710
155Shots on goal75
67Corner kicks25

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ChesterPer gameMerthyr Town
1.2Goals for / game1.6
0.4Goals against / game1.0
57%Ball possession53%
10.7Shots per game11.0
6.1Corners per game5.4

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ChesterRateMerthyr Town
60%Wins40%
50%Over 1.590%
20%Over 2.560%
30%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Chester LWWLD
L 3 Oct Spennymoor Chester 4 1 2.98 2.21
W 26 Sept Chester Worksop 4 1 1.67 4.50
W 19 Sept Lower Breck Chester 1 2 – –
L 12 Sept Buxton Chester 3 1 2.47 2.63
D 5 Sept Hebburn Town Chester 1 1 3.75 1.87
L 31 Aug Chester Morecambe 0 1 1.74 4.25
D 29 Aug Hereford Chester 1 1 3.10 2.14
W 22 Aug Chester Spalding United 1 0 1.67 4.70
W 18 Aug Darlington Chester 0 1 3.20 2.12
W 15 Aug Chester King’s Lynn 2 0 1.73 4.20
Merthyr Town LLDDW
L 26 Sept Merthyr Town Marine 1 2 1.92 3.45
L 22 Sept Truro Merthyr Town 2 0 1.93 3.55
D 19 Sept Merthyr Town Truro 1 1 2.67 2.51
D 12 Sept Scarborough Merthyr Town 0 0 2.05 3.10
W 5 Sept Merthyr Town Macclesfield 2 1 3.40 1.97
L 31 Aug Buxton Merthyr Town 2 1 1.65 4.20
D 29 Aug Merthyr Town Chorley 1 1 2.16 3.00
D 22 Aug South Shields Merthyr Town 1 1 1.47 6.75
D 18 Aug Merthyr Town AFC Telford 2 2 2.52 2.65
L 15 Aug Spennymoor Merthyr Town 2 1 2.05 3.25

Past meetings

Chester
1·1·0
Merthyr Town
  • Mar 2026 Merthyr Town 1 - 2 Chester
  • Oct 2025 Chester 2 - 2 Merthyr Town

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Hereford 11 +17 24
2 Macclesfield 11 +7 22
3 South Shields 11 +3 22
4 Oxford City 11 +11 21
5 Hebburn Town 11 0 19
6 Spalding United 11 +6 18
7 Chester 11 +4 18
8 King’s Lynn 11 +5 17
9 Buxton 11 0 17
10 Bedford 11 0 17
11 Morecambe 11 +5 15
12 Chorley 11 -1 15
13 Merthyr Town 11 +1 14
14 Scarborough 11 +3 13
15 Hednesford 11 0 13
16 Marine 11 0 13
17 Harborough 11 -2 13
18 Worksop 11 -6 13
19 Brackley Town 11 -9 11
20 Southport 11 -7 10
21 AFC Telford 11 -7 10
22 Darlington 11 -9 8
23 Spennymoor 11 -10 8
24 Radcliffe 11 -11 7
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