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Chelsea vs Luton prediction — League Cup

League Cup · England
Chelsea €1.35bn
Full time 2 : 0
Luton €29.20m
1 1.12
X 12.50
2 21.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Chelsea win 1 Odds @1.12 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Chelsea 80%@1.12
Draw 13%@12.50
Luton 7%@21.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 80%@1.23
Under 2.5 20%@4.92
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@2.02
No 42%@1.83
Bet Builder
1X & Over 2.5 74%@1.29
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ChelseaModelLuton
1.31xG1.97
45%Ball possession55%
15Shots13
7Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
ChelseaRealLuton
2.41xG0.22
66%Ball possession34%
26Shots7
7Shots on goal1
9Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards1
2Offside calls0
11Fouls made6
ChelseaReal · ModelLuton
2.411.31xG0.221.97
66%45%Ball possession34%55%
2615Shots713
77Shots on goal17
95Corner kicks35
03Yellow cards12
22Offside calls02
1111Fouls made611

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ChelseaPer gameLuton
2.2Goals for / game2.5
1.7Goals against / game1.1
51%Ball possession57%
13.8Shots per game14.0
4.1Corners per game6.2
1.59Expected goals2.38

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ChelseaRateLuton
50%Wins70%
80%Over 1.590%
80%Over 2.570%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Chelsea LDWLW
L 18 Sept Brentford Chelsea 3 0 2.70 2.62
D 12 Sept Chelsea Hull 2 2 1.24 14.50
W 9 Sept Chelsea Leeds 6 3 1.95 3.95
L 6 Sept Arsenal Chelsea 2 1 1.82 5.00
W 30 Aug Chelsea Brighton 4 3 1.92 4.15
W 24 Aug Fulham Chelsea 2 3 3.80 2.12
W 15 Aug Chelsea(Eng) Real Sociedad(Esp) 3 1 1.57 5.60
D 9 Aug Johor DT Chelsea 3 3 4.80 1.60
W 8 Aug Chelsea AC Milan 3 0 2.02 3.50
L 5 Aug Chelsea Juventus 0 1 2.40 2.82
Luton DWLLD
D 3 Oct Colchester Luton 1 1 4.20 1.70
W 22 Sept Luton Ipswich U21 6 0 1.25 9.00
L 19 Sept Luton Bradford 0 1 2.17 3.40
L 10 Sept Stevenage Luton 2 1 3.30 2.23
D 5 Sept Luton Leyton Orient 1 1 1.62 5.00
W 2 Sept Luton Stockport 2 0 2.70 2.45
L 30 Aug Mansfield Luton 5 2 3.05 2.25
D 22 Aug Luton Notts County 2 2 1.55 5.80
W 15 Aug Reading Luton 3 4 3.10 2.32
W 8 Aug Gillingham Luton 0 3 4.90 1.68

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day