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Chelsea vs Leeds prediction — League Cup

League Cup · England
Chelsea €1.08bn
Full time 6 : 3
Leeds €407.55m
1 1.95
X 3.90
2 3.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
64%Chance
Chelsea win 1 Odds @1.95 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Chelsea 64%@1.95
Draw 18%@3.90
Leeds 18%@3.95
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 73%@1.61
Under 2.5 27%@4.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.55
No 41%@2.42
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 83%@1.50
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ChelseaModelLeeds
1.82xG1.52
51%Ball possession49%
17Shots10
8Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made9
ChelseaRealLeeds
2.40xG2.39
49%Ball possession51%
16Shots18
8Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards0
2Offside calls1
6Fouls made10
ChelseaReal · ModelLeeds
2.401.82xG2.391.52
49%51%Ball possession51%49%
1617Shots1810
88Shots on goal65
36Corner kicks53
12Yellow cards02
21Offside calls11
611Fouls made109

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ChelseaPer gameLeeds
2.6Goals for / game1.9
1.8Goals against / game0.8
51%Ball possession47%
17.0Shots per game9.6
4.8Corners per game3.8
1.93Expected goals1.28

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ChelseaRateLeeds
60%Wins60%
90%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.530%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Chelsea LDLWW
L 18 Sept Brentford Chelsea 3 0 2.70 2.62
D 12 Sept Chelsea Hull 2 2 1.24 14.50
L 6 Sept Arsenal Chelsea 2 1 1.82 5.00
W 30 Aug Chelsea Brighton 4 3 1.92 4.15
W 27 Aug Chelsea Luton 2 0 1.12 21.00
W 24 Aug Fulham Chelsea 2 3 3.80 2.12
W 15 Aug Chelsea(Eng) Real Sociedad(Esp) 3 1 1.57 5.60
D 9 Aug Johor DT Chelsea 3 3 4.80 1.60
W 8 Aug Chelsea AC Milan 3 0 2.02 3.50
L 5 Aug Chelsea Juventus 0 1 2.40 2.82
Leeds DWDDW
D 20 Sept Leeds Crystal Palace 0 0 1.75 5.00
W 14 Sept Leeds Newcastle 4 1 2.40 3.05
D 5 Sept Brighton Leeds 1 1 2.02 3.90
D 30 Aug Leeds Brentford 1 1 2.88 2.47
W 25 Aug Nottingham Leeds 0 2 2.47 3.05
W 22 Aug Nottingham Leeds 0 1 2.50 3.05
W 15 Aug Leeds(Eng) Augsburg(Ger) 4 0 1.72 4.30
D 12 Aug Leeds Manchester Utd 1 1 3.45 1.92
W 8 Aug Leeds RB Leipzig 2 0 – –
W 2 Aug Liverpool Leeds 2 4 2.02 3.90

Past meetings

Chelsea
1·1·1
Leeds
  • Apr 2026 Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds
  • Feb 2026 Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds
  • Dec 2025 Leeds 3 - 1 Chelsea
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