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Chelsea vs Brighton prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
Chelsea €1.30bn
Full time 4 : 3
Brighton €588.50m
1 1.92
X 4.00
2 4.15

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
58%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.28 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Chelsea 44%@1.92
Draw 29%@4.00
Brighton 27%@4.15
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 63%@1.63
Under 2.5 37%@2.78
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.58
No 42%@2.37
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 56%@1.50
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ChelseaModelBrighton
1.56xG1.83
45%Ball possession55%
17Shots15
7Shots on goal7
6Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made13
ChelseaRealBrighton
2.97xG1.56
26%Ball possession74%
17Shots15
6Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards3
0Offside calls0
6Fouls made12
ChelseaReal · ModelBrighton
2.971.56xG1.561.83
26%45%Ball possession74%55%
1717Shots1515
67Shots on goal67
46Corner kicks76
12Yellow cards31
02Offside calls02
611Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ChelseaPer gameBrighton
2.4Goals for / game2.0
1.6Goals against / game1.0
53%Ball possession67%
15.7Shots per game17.0
4.6Corners per game6.5
1.75Expected goals1.96

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ChelseaRateBrighton
60%Wins60%
90%Over 1.570%
80%Over 2.570%
70%BTTS20%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Chelsea LDWLW
L 18 Sept Brentford Chelsea 3 0 2.70 2.62
D 12 Sept Chelsea Hull 2 2 1.24 14.50
W 9 Sept Chelsea Leeds 6 3 1.95 3.95
L 6 Sept Arsenal Chelsea 2 1 1.82 5.00
W 27 Aug Chelsea Luton 2 0 1.12 21.00
W 24 Aug Fulham Chelsea 2 3 3.80 2.12
W 15 Aug Chelsea(Eng) Real Sociedad(Esp) 3 1 1.57 5.60
D 9 Aug Johor DT Chelsea 3 3 4.80 1.60
W 8 Aug Chelsea AC Milan 3 0 2.02 3.50
L 5 Aug Chelsea Juventus 0 1 2.40 2.82
Brighton WWWDW
W 19 Sept Brighton Arsenal 3 0 5.10 1.74
W 16 Sept Manchester Utd Brighton 2 3 1.88 4.05
W 13 Sept Coventry Brighton 0 5 3.95 1.95
D 5 Sept Brighton Leeds 1 1 2.02 3.90
W 27 Aug Brighton(Eng) Tromso(Nor) 4 0 1.16 20.00
W 23 Aug Brighton Aston Villa 4 0 2.12 3.50
D 20 Aug Tromso(Nor) Brighton(Eng) 0 0 6.20 1.56
W 15 Aug Brighton(Eng) Bologna(Ita) 1 0 1.65 4.65
W 8 Aug Brighton AS Roma 3 0 2.37 2.85
D 1 Aug Brighton Strasbourg 0 0 – –

Past meetings

Chelsea
2·0·4
Brighton
  • Apr 2026 Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
  • Sept 2025 Chelsea 1 - 3 Brighton
  • Feb 2025 Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
  • Feb 2025 Brighton 2 - 1 Chelsea
  • Sept 2024 Chelsea 4 - 2 Brighton
  • May 2024 Brighton 1 - 2 Chelsea

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3
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