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Charlton vs Derby prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Charlton €30.45m
Full time 2 : 1
Derby €63.67m
1 2.75
X 3.20
2 2.72

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Derby scores AS Odds @1.35 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Charlton 30%@2.75
Draw 25%@3.20
Derby 45%@2.72
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 72%@1.42
Under 1.5 28%@3.65
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.89
No 40%@1.90
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.99
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CharltonModelDerby
1.07xG1.08
46%Ball possession54%
13Shots11
7Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made13
CharltonRealDerby
1.07xG1.01
45%Ball possession55%
13Shots15
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
0Yellow cards3
0Offside calls1
7Fouls made16
CharltonReal · ModelDerby
1.071.07xG1.011.08
45%46%Ball possession55%54%
1313Shots1511
47Shots on goal46
54Corner kicks44
02Yellow cards33
02Offside calls12
712Fouls made1613

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CharltonPer gameDerby
1.2Goals for / game1.4
1.3Goals against / game1.6

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CharltonRateDerby
50%Wins30%
80%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.570%
50%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Charlton LDDLD
L 19 Sept Cardiff Charlton 3 1 1.75 4.70
D 12 Sept Charlton Portsmouth 0 0 2.75 2.75
D 9 Sept Charlton QPR 0 0 3.35 2.27
L 5 Sept Stoke Charlton 4 0 2.05 4.10
D 2 Sept West Brom Charlton 1 1 1.70 5.40
W 29 Aug Charlton Preston 1 0 2.14 3.65
L 26 Aug Tottenham Charlton 5 1 1.17 21.00
W 22 Aug West Ham Charlton 0 1 1.45 7.50
W 8 Aug Cheltenham Charlton 1 3 4.80 1.68
L 1 Aug Reading Charlton 3 0 3.35 2.00
Derby DLLLW
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
L 5 Sept West Ham Derby 3 0 1.39 8.50
W 1 Sept Portsmouth Derby 0 2 2.10 3.95
L 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Derby Cardiff 2 2 2.15 3.80
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86

Past meetings

Charlton
1·1·2
Derby
  • Jan 2026 Charlton 1 - 2 Derby
  • Sept 2025 Derby 1 - 1 Charlton
  • Feb 2024 Derby 1 - 2 Charlton
  • Feb 2024 Charlton 0 - 1 Derby

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day