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Cerro Porteno vs Nacional prediction — Division Profesional - Clausura

1 2.35
X 3.05
2 3.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.53 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Cerro Porteno 29%@2.35
Draw 22%@3.05
Nacional 49%@3.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 17%@7.47
Under 2.5 83%@1.53
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.12
No 56%@1.73
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 61%@1.75
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Cerro PortenoModelNacional
1.18xG1.14
51%Ball possession49%
11Shots10
5Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
Cerro PortenoRealNacional
1.15xG0.65
51%Ball possession49%
10Shots16
3Shots on goal4
3Corner kicks6
2Offside calls4
7Fouls made12
Cerro PortenoReal · ModelNacional
1.151.18xG0.651.14
51%51%Ball possession49%49%
1011Shots1610
35Shots on goal45
34Corner kicks63
21Offside calls42
711Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Cerro PortenoPer gameNacional
1.2Goals for / game1.8
0.9Goals against / game0.6
52%Ball possession47%
11.0Shots per game11.3
4.2Corners per game3.6
1.13Expected goals1.26

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Cerro PortenoRateNacional
40%Wins60%
60%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Cerro Porteno WLWDW
W 30 Sept Cerro Porteno Rubio NU 2 1 1.52 6.70
L 26 Sept Sportivo Cerro Porteno 2 1 3.10 2.37
W 19 Sept Cerro Porteno Rubio NU 1 0 1.70 5.30
D 12 Sept Guarani Cerro Porteno 1 1 3.30 2.25
W 3 Sept Recoleta Cerro Porteno 1 3 4.20 2.00
D 30 Aug Cerro Porteno Libertad 1 1 2.35 3.55
W 27 Aug Resistencia Cerro Porteno 0 1 9.30 1.26
L 23 Aug Olimpia Cerro Porteno 2 1 1.95 3.90
L 19 Aug Cerro Porteno(Par) Palmeiras(Bra) 0 1 4.90 1.91
W 16 Aug Cerro Porteno San Lorenzo 1 0 1.39 8.25
Nacional DDWDW
D 30 Sept Independi Nacional 2 2 4.60 1.75
D 25 Sept Nacional Ameliano 1 1 1.91 4.30
W 18 Sept Nacional 2 de Mayo 3 0 1.72 5.40
D 13 Sept Rubio NU Nacional 0 0 3.45 2.30
W 2 Sept Nacional Libertad 3 0 3.00 2.63
W 28 Aug San Lorenzo Nacional 0 3 4.60 1.87
W 24 Aug Nacional Sp. Luqueno 2 0 2.20 3.90
W 18 Aug Benjamin Aceval Nacional 0 2 4.30 1.78
D 15 Aug Sportivo Nacional 1 1 2.75 2.70
D 9 Aug Nacional Guarani 0 0 2.12 3.60

Past meetings

Cerro Porteno
3·2·1
Nacional
  • Apr 2026 Nacional 0 - 0 Cerro Porteno
  • Feb 2026 Cerro Porteno 0 - 2 Nacional
  • Oct 2025 Nacional 1 - 2 Cerro Porteno
  • Aug 2025 Cerro Porteno 0 - 0 Nacional
  • Apr 2025 Nacional 1 - 3 Cerro Porteno
  • Feb 2025 Cerro Porteno 3 - 1 Nacional

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Olimpia 14 +11 27
2 Libertad 14 +6 25
3 2 de Mayo 14 +1 24
4 Nacional 14 +11 22
5 Sportivo 14 +9 22
6 Guarani 14 +4 22
7 Ameliano 14 +1 20
8 Cerro Porteno 14 +3 19
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 -9 15
10 Rubio NU 14 -9 12
11 Recoleta 14 -11 10
12 San Lorenzo 14 -17 4