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Cardiff vs Stoke prediction — Championship

Championship · England
1 2.10
X 3.65
2 3.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
68%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.35 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Cardiff 54%@2.10
Draw 22%@3.65
Stoke 24%@3.40
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 71%@1.65
Under 2.5 29%@4.04
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 63%@1.54
No 37%@2.43
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 64%@1.60
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CardiffModelStoke
1.53xG0.92
58%Ball possession42%
16Shots10
8Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
11Fouls made16
CardiffRealStoke
2.69xG0.75
71%Ball possession29%
26Shots12
6Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls4
5Fouls made19
CardiffReal · ModelStoke
2.691.53xG0.750.92
71%58%Ball possession29%42%
2616Shots1210
68Shots on goal44
77Corner kicks54
12Yellow cards22
22Offside calls43
511Fouls made1916

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CardiffPer gameStoke
2.5Goals for / game1.4
1.6Goals against / game1.2
63%Ball possession46%
14.8Shots per game10.6
7.1Corners per game2.7
1.36Expected goals1.02

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CardiffRateStoke
40%Wins40%
100%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.540%
90%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Cardiff WLLLD
W 19 Sept Cardiff Charlton 3 1 1.75 4.70
L 12 Sept Bolton Cardiff 1 0 2.77 2.43
L 5 Sept Portsmouth Cardiff 2 0 2.42 2.95
L 2 Sept QPR Cardiff 2 1 1.98 3.70
D 29 Aug Cardiff Sheffield Utd 2 2 2.82 2.40
L 25 Aug Cardiff Norwich 1 2 2.70 2.43
D 22 Aug Derby Cardiff 2 2 2.15 3.80
D 17 Aug Cardiff Wrexham 1 1 2.60 2.75
W 8 Aug Cardiff Swindon 3 2 1.33 8.00
W 1 Aug Cardiff AS Roma 4 1 4.90 1.60
Stoke WWWWL
W 19 Sept Stoke Sheffield Utd 2 1 2.35 3.15
W 12 Sept Watford Stoke 1 2 2.35 3.15
W 5 Sept Stoke Charlton 4 0 2.05 4.10
W 1 Sept Stoke Norwich 1 0 3.45 2.15
L 29 Aug Wolves Stoke 4 1 1.70 5.40
D 25 Aug Stoke Hull 1 1 2.25 3.20
L 22 Aug Southampton Stoke 3 1 1.61 5.30
L 15 Aug Stoke Swansea 1 2 2.40 3.05
W 8 Aug Stoke Oldham 2 0 1.42 6.75
D 1 Aug Stoke Valencia 1 1 2.88 2.55

Past meetings

Cardiff
1·2·1
Stoke
  • Apr 2025 Cardiff 0 - 1 Stoke
  • Feb 2025 Stoke 3 - 3 Cardiff
  • Dec 2024 Stoke 2 - 2 Cardiff
  • Feb 2024 Cardiff 2 - 1 Stoke

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6