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Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Cajamarca €4.65m
Fri, 23 Oct 19:00
FBC Melgar €10.21m
1 5.80
X 4.45
2 1.56

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick
60%Chance
FBC Melgar win 2 Odds @1.56 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Cajamarca 17%@5.80
Draw 23%@4.45
FBC Melgar 60%@1.56
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 69%@1.72
Under 2.5 31%@3.83
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.78
No 42%@1.95
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 78%@1.33
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What the model expects over a full match.

CajamarcaStatFBC Melgar
0.92xG1.67
45%Ball possession55%
10Shots18
4Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made10

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CajamarcaPer gameFBC Melgar
1.0Goals for / game1.7
2.0Goals against / game1.1
46%Ball possession58%
11.0Shots per game16.9
3.1Corners per game5.9
0.73Expected goals1.68

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CajamarcaRateFBC Melgar
0%Wins40%
70%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Cajamarca LLLLL
L 19 Oct Cienciano Cajamarca 1 0 1.25 10.50
L 11 Oct Cajamarca Sporting 0 1 3.35 2.08
L 20 Sept Sport Huancayo Cajamarca 3 2 1.33 9.25
L 11 Sept Cajamarca Juan Pablo II 1 2 1.92 4.10
L 4 Sept Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 3 2 1.59 6.10
L 29 Aug Cajamarca Universitario 2 4 3.30 2.23
D 25 Aug Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 1 1 1.71 6.10
L 22 Aug Cajamarca Comercian 1 3 2.16 3.55
L 16 Aug Alianza Lima Cajamarca 1 0 1.30 10.50
D 8 Aug Cajamarca ADT 1 1 1.83 4.30
FBC Melgar WDDWW
W 18 Oct FBC Melgar Deportivo 4 2 1.42 7.00
D 11 Oct Universitario FBC Melgar 2 2 1.95 4.90
D 20 Sept FBC Melgar Sport Boys 1 1 1.42 7.50
W 12 Sept Cusco FBC Melgar 0 1 2.07 3.55
W 7 Sept FBC Melgar ADT 3 0 1.42 8.00
L 1 Sept Grau FBC Melgar 1 0 2.70 2.80
D 23 Aug FBC Melgar Alianza Lima 1 1 2.18 3.55
W 15 Aug Los Chankas FBC Melgar 0 3 3.35 2.23
L 9 Aug FBC Melgar FC Cajamarca 2 4 1.27 10.50
D 2 Aug Moquegua FBC Melgar 0 0 4.50 1.86

Past meetings

Cajamarca
0·0·5
FBC Melgar
  • May 2026 FBC Melgar 2 - 0 Cajamarca
  • Jul 2025 Cajamarca 1 - 2 FBC Melgar
  • Feb 2025 FBC Melgar 3 - 0 Cajamarca
  • Oct 2024 FBC Melgar 1 - 0 Cajamarca
  • May 2024 Cajamarca 2 - 6 FBC Melgar

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 31 +28 62
2 Universitario 31 +13 53
3 FBC Melgar 31 +16 50
4 Deportivo 31 +12 50
5 Cienciano 31 +11 50
6 Cusco 31 +1 48
7 Los Chankas 31 -8 48
8 Sporting 31 +12 46
9 Sport Huancayo 31 -4 44
10 Alianza Atl. 31 +2 43
11 Sport Boys 31 -1 40
12 Juan Pablo II 31 -8 40
13 Comercian 32 -5 34
14 Grau 31 -7 34
15 FC Cajamarca 31 -10 31
16 Moquegua 31 -17 31
17 ADT 31 -12 29
18 Cajamarca 30 -23 17
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day