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Cajamarca vs Comercian prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Cajamarca €4.60m
Full time 1 : 3
Comercian €6.35m
1 2.16
X 3.15
2 3.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
69%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.40 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Cajamarca 48%@2.16
Draw 28%@3.15
Comercian 24%@3.55
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 69%@1.40
Under 1.5 31%@3.12
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@1.97
No 53%@1.80
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 62%@1.78
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CajamarcaModelComercian
0.62xG1.20
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots12
6Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made13
CajamarcaRealComercian
0.91xG3.11
48%Ball possession52%
13Shots22
3Shots on goal11
7Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards0
0Offside calls1
14Fouls made15
CajamarcaReal · ModelComercian
0.910.62xG3.111.20
48%49%Ball possession52%51%
1312Shots2212
36Shots on goal115
76Corner kicks63
12Yellow cards02
02Offside calls12
1412Fouls made1513

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CajamarcaPer gameComercian
1.4Goals for / game0.9
1.5Goals against / game1.4
51%Ball possession54%
11.4Shots per game14.8
5.2Corners per game3.7
0.70Expected goals1.41

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CajamarcaRateComercian
20%Wins10%
70%Over 1.560%
60%Over 2.540%
70%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Cajamarca LLLLD
L 20 Sept Sport Huancayo Cajamarca 3 2 1.33 9.25
L 11 Sept Cajamarca Juan Pablo II 1 2 1.92 4.10
L 4 Sept Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 3 2 1.59 6.10
L 29 Aug Cajamarca Universitario 2 4 3.30 2.23
D 25 Aug Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 1 1 1.71 6.10
L 16 Aug Alianza Lima Cajamarca 1 0 1.30 10.50
D 8 Aug Cajamarca ADT 1 1 1.83 4.30
L 2 Aug Cusco Cajamarca 4 1 1.50 6.10
D 26 Jul Cajamarca Moquegua 0 0 1.60 6.00
L 18 Jul Grau Cajamarca 3 1 1.77 5.10
Comercian LLDLL
L 18 Sept Alianza Atl. Comercian 2 1 1.70 5.00
L 12 Sept Comercian Sport Huancayo 0 1 2.10 3.55
D 6 Sept Universitario Comercian 2 2 1.35 9.50
L 28 Aug Comercian FC Cajamarca 2 3 1.63 5.60
L 14 Aug Grau Comercian 1 0 2.33 3.30
W 7 Aug Comercian Cusco 3 1 2.57 2.70
L 31 Jul Los Chankas Comercian 3 2 1.87 4.60
D 26 Jul Comercian Alianza Lima 2 2 3.70 2.20
D 18 Jul Moquegua Comercian 2 2 2.25 3.50
D 27 Jun Comercian Juan Pablo II 0 0 1.97 3.55

Past meetings

Cajamarca
3·1·2
Comercian
  • Mar 2026 Comercian 1 - 2 Cajamarca
  • Jan 2026 Comercian 0 - 1 Cajamarca
  • Oct 2025 Comercian 2 - 1 Cajamarca
  • May 2025 Cajamarca 2 - 0 Comercian
  • Aug 2024 Comercian 1 - 1 Cajamarca
  • Mar 2024 Cajamarca 2 - 3 Comercian

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day