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Caen vs Bastia prediction — Ligue 3

Ligue 3 · France
Caen €4.22m
Full time 0 : 1
Bastia €7.25m
1 2.17
X 3.35
2 3.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
56%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.29 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Caen 42%@2.17
Draw 29%@3.35
Bastia 29%@3.35
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 32%@2.91
Under 3.5 68%@1.37
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.65
No 40%@2.12
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.49
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CaenModelBastia
0.00xG1.13
56%Ball possession44%
12Shots11
8Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
0Offside calls1
0Fouls made14
CaenRealBastia
62%Ball possession38%
6Shots4
2Shots on goal2
10Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
CaenReal · ModelBastia
62%56%Ball possession38%44%
612Shots411
28Shots on goal26
104Corner kicks54
32Yellow cards33

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CaenPer gameBastia
2.3Goals for / game1.4
1.6Goals against / game1.8
60%Ball possession44%
9.8Shots per game9.3
3.0Corners per game4.1

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CaenRateBastia
50%Wins30%
80%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.530%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Caen LWLWW
L 3 Oct Fleury 91 Caen 3 2 2.62 2.55
W 24 Sept Caen Rouen 3 2 2.72 2.50
L 19 Sept Concarneau Caen 2 0 2.42 2.85
W 12 Sept Caen Gobelins 2 0 1.62 5.00
W 5 Sept Bourg 01 Caen 0 2 3.50 1.98
W 20 Aug Caen Aubagne 1 0 1.85 4.05
L 14 Aug Thionville Caen 4 3 2.12 3.25
W 7 Aug Caen Valenciennes 4 0 2.27 3.00
D 31 Jul Caen Dieppe 1 1 1.83 5.00
W 25 Jul Caen Al Wakra 4 1 2.75 2.72
Bastia DLDWL
D 1 Oct Bastia Orleans 1 1 2.17 3.30
L 26 Sept Gobelins Bastia 1 0 2.42 2.95
D 17 Sept Bastia Cannes 1 1 3.00 2.32
W 12 Sept Bourg 01 Bastia 0 1 3.25 2.20
L 5 Sept Bastia Amiens 0 3 2.10 3.50
L 20 Aug Bastia Versailles 2 3 2.22 3.30
W 14 Aug Aubagne Bastia 0 1 3.05 2.43
L 7 Aug Bastia Le Puy Foot 0 2 1.95 4.10
L 10 Jul Rodez Bastia 5 3 – –
L 9 May Bastia Le Mans 0 2 3.40 2.25

Past meetings

Caen
2·0·1
Bastia
  • May 2025 Bastia 2 - 1 Caen
  • Nov 2024 Caen 2 - 0 Bastia
  • Jan 2024 Bastia 1 - 2 Caen

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 La Roche 10 +7 22
2 Rouen 9 +12 20
3 Caen 10 +5 16
4 Concarneau 9 +4 16
5 Versailles 9 +1 16
6 Amiens 9 +9 15
7 Cannes 9 +7 15
8 Le Puy Foot 9 +2 13
9 Fleury 91 9 +3 12
10 Thionville 9 0 12
11 Gobelins 9 -2 12
12 Bastia 9 -4 11
13 Quevilly 9 -4 10
14 Orleans 9 -4 9
15 Valenciennes 9 -5 8
16 Aubagne 9 -6 7
17 Bourg 01 9 -10 5
18 Villefranche 9 -15 4
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