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Buxton vs Merthyr Town prediction — National League - North

National League - North · England
Buxton €75.00Th.
Full time 2 : 1
Merthyr Town €125.00Th.
1 1.65
X 4.10
2 4.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.45 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Buxton 58%@1.65
Draw 21%@4.10
Merthyr Town 21%@4.20
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 72%@1.45
Under 2.5 28%@3.73
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 74%@1.50
No 26%@2.45
Bet Builder
1X & Over 2.5 67%@1.78
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BuxtonModelMerthyr Town
46%Ball possession54%
14Shots9
9Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks4
3Offside calls1
16Fouls made11
BuxtonRealMerthyr Town
36%Ball possession64%
10Shots13
4Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks6
4Offside calls1
15Fouls made5
BuxtonReal · ModelMerthyr Town
36%46%Ball possession64%54%
1014Shots139
49Shots on goal65
47Corner kicks64
43Offside calls11
1516Fouls made511

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BuxtonPer gameMerthyr Town
1.4Goals for / game1.6
1.3Goals against / game1.1
52%Ball possession59%
12.8Shots per game10.0
6.4Corners per game5.0

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BuxtonRateMerthyr Town
50%Wins30%
80%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Buxton LLWWW
L 3 Oct Buxton South Shields 0 2 2.78 2.13
L 26 Sept South Shields Buxton 4 0 1.97 3.15
W 19 Sept Buxton Ashton Utd 1 0 1.42 6.80
W 12 Sept Buxton Chester 3 1 2.47 2.63
W 8 Sept Buxton Brackley Town 5 0 1.68 4.60
L 5 Sept Morecambe Buxton 4 0 2.45 2.57
W 28 Aug Oxford City Buxton 2 3 2.47 2.57
L 22 Aug Buxton Hebburn Town 1 2 1.53 5.40
L 18 Aug Bedford Buxton 2 1 4.20 1.76
D 15 Aug Southport Buxton 1 1 2.67 2.42
Merthyr Town LLDDW
L 26 Sept Merthyr Town Marine 1 2 1.92 3.45
L 22 Sept Truro Merthyr Town 2 0 1.93 3.55
D 19 Sept Merthyr Town Truro 1 1 2.67 2.51
D 12 Sept Scarborough Merthyr Town 0 0 2.05 3.10
W 8 Sept Chester Merthyr Town 0 1 1.64 4.60
W 5 Sept Merthyr Town Macclesfield 2 1 3.40 1.97
D 29 Aug Merthyr Town Chorley 1 1 2.16 3.00
D 22 Aug South Shields Merthyr Town 1 1 1.47 6.75
D 18 Aug Merthyr Town AFC Telford 2 2 2.52 2.65
L 15 Aug Spennymoor Merthyr Town 2 1 2.05 3.25

Past meetings

Buxton
1·0·1
Merthyr Town
  • Feb 2026 Merthyr Town 1 - 3 Buxton
  • Nov 2025 Buxton 1 - 2 Merthyr Town

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Hereford 11 +17 24
2 Macclesfield 11 +7 22
3 South Shields 11 +3 22
4 Oxford City 11 +11 21
5 Hebburn Town 11 0 19
6 Spalding United 11 +6 18
7 Chester 11 +4 18
8 King’s Lynn 11 +5 17
9 Buxton 11 0 17
10 Bedford 11 0 17
11 Morecambe 11 +5 15
12 Chorley 11 -1 15
13 Merthyr Town 11 +1 14
14 Scarborough 11 +3 13
15 Hednesford 11 0 13
16 Marine 11 0 13
17 Harborough 11 -2 13
18 Worksop 11 -6 13
19 Brackley Town 11 -9 11
20 Southport 11 -7 10
21 AFC Telford 11 -7 10
22 Darlington 11 -9 8
23 Spennymoor 11 -10 8
24 Radcliffe 11 -11 7
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day