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Burton vs AFC Wimbledon prediction — League One

League One · England
Burton €6.53m
Full time 4 : 1
AFC Wimbledon €5.40m
1 2.47
X 3.20
2 2.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
87%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.26 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Burton 54%@2.47
Draw 22%@3.20
AFC Wimbledon 24%@2.95
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 19%@5.37
Under 3.5 81%@1.26
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 29%@1.83
No 71%@1.91
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 64%@1.60
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BurtonModelAFC Wimbledon
1.17xG0.42
51%Ball possession49%
12Shots7
6Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made11
BurtonRealAFC Wimbledon
0.93xG1.33
50%Ball possession50%
10Shots17
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls3
8Fouls made14
BurtonReal · ModelAFC Wimbledon
0.931.17xG1.330.42
50%51%Ball possession50%49%
1012Shots177
56Shots on goal43
44Corner kicks75
12Yellow cards12
12Offside calls32
814Fouls made1411

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BurtonPer gameAFC Wimbledon
0.9Goals for / game0.7
1.3Goals against / game1.2
40%Ball possession43%
11.0Shots per game9.0
2.6Corners per game5.7
1.30Expected goals0.51

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BurtonRateAFC Wimbledon
20%Wins20%
70%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.530%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Burton LWDDL
L 3 Oct Burton Huddersfield 1 3 4.25 1.84
W 26 Sept Plymouth Burton 0 1 1.53 5.90
D 22 Sept Burton Nottingham U21 1 1 1.56 4.90
D 19 Sept Burton Mansfield 2 2 2.55 2.75
L 12 Sept Oxford Utd Burton 3 0 1.87 4.20
D 5 Sept Burton Cambridge Utd 2 2 2.82 2.70
L 29 Aug Notts County Burton 2 1 2.10 3.65
W 22 Aug Leicester Burton 1 2 1.58 5.60
D 15 Aug Burton Stevenage 1 1 2.70 2.88
L 8 Aug Burton Blackburn 1 2 3.85 2.05
AFC Wimbledon DDWWW
D 26 Sept Cambridge Utd AFC Wimbledon 1 1 1.85 4.40
D 17 Sept AFC Wimbledon MK Dons 0 0 2.80 2.52
W 12 Sept AFC Wimbledon Doncaster 1 0 2.95 2.45
W 7 Sept Bromley AFC Wimbledon 0 2 2.48 2.87
W 30 Aug AFC Wimbledon Wigan 1 0 3.10 2.33
L 27 Aug Fulham AFC Wimbledon 3 0 1.19 16.50
D 22 Aug AFC Wimbledon Reading 0 0 2.77 2.65
D 18 Aug Leyton Orient AFC Wimbledon 1 1 2.32 2.95
L 15 Aug Huddersfield AFC Wimbledon 3 0 1.65 5.30
D 8 Aug AFC Wimbledon Newport 1 1 1.73 4.50

Past meetings

Burton
2·0·0
AFC Wimbledon
  • Apr 2026 Burton 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
  • Oct 2025 AFC Wimbledon 0 - 1 Burton

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 +6 19
2 Huddersfield 10 +7 17
3 Bradford 9 +3 17
4 Sheffield Wed 8 +7 15
5 Stockport 9 +7 14
6 Oxford Utd 9 +6 14
7 Cambridge Utd 9 +2 14
8 Reading 9 +7 13
9 Burton 10 -1 13
10 AFC Wimbledon 9 -2 13
11 Leyton Orient 9 +1 11
12 Leicester 9 -2 11
13 Mansfield 10 -3 11
14 Stevenage 8 +3 10
15 Luton 9 -2 10
16 Wycombe 9 -4 10
17 Blackpool 8 0 9
18 Barnsley 8 -5 9
19 Bromley 8 -10 9
20 Doncaster 9 -1 8
21 Notts County 8 -2 8
22 MK Dons 8 -2 7
23 Wigan 10 -6 7
24 Peterborough 9 -9 6
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