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Burnley vs Middlesbrough prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Burnley €140.80m
Full time 1 : 1
Middlesbrough €141.90m
1 3.20
X 3.75
2 2.23

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
64%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.38 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Burnley 27%@3.20
Draw 23%@3.75
Middlesbrough 50%@2.23
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 73%@1.20
Under 1.5 27%@3.24
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 66%@1.54
No 34%@2.55
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.58
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BurnleyModelMiddlesbrough
1.20xG1.78
48%Ball possession52%
15Shots18
6Shots on goal7
6Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made11
BurnleyRealMiddlesbrough
0.63xG1.23
42%Ball possession58%
11Shots10
3Shots on goal2
5Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls6
11Fouls made8
BurnleyReal · ModelMiddlesbrough
0.631.20xG1.231.78
42%48%Ball possession58%52%
1115Shots1018
36Shots on goal27
56Corner kicks17
21Yellow cards21
21Offside calls62
1110Fouls made811

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BurnleyPer gameMiddlesbrough
1.0Goals for / game1.6
2.0Goals against / game1.5
58%Ball possession60%
15.2Shots per game18.1
6.7Corners per game6.3
1.16Expected goals1.68

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BurnleyRateMiddlesbrough
0%Wins40%
80%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Burnley DLDLL
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Swansea Burnley 3 1 2.12 3.55
D 8 Sept Wrexham Burnley 1 1 2.12 3.60
L 5 Sept Burnley Bristol City 1 2 2.00 3.95
L 29 Aug Norwich Burnley 4 1 2.07 3.60
D 26 Aug Bradford Burnley 0 0 3.50 2.23
L 23 Aug West Brom Burnley 3 1 2.63 2.87
D 16 Aug Burnley West Ham 2 2 3.05 2.37
D 8 Aug Burnley Notts County 1 1 1.44 7.70
L 2 Aug Burnley Torino 0 1 2.32 2.95
Middlesbrough DDWLW
D 19 Sept Birmingham Middlesbrough 2 2 2.85 2.50
D 15 Sept Middlesbrough Millwall 2 2 1.47 6.90
W 12 Sept Middlesbrough Norwich 4 3 1.87 3.95
L 8 Sept Crystal Palace Middlesbrough 3 0 2.22 3.35
W 5 Sept QPR Middlesbrough 0 1 3.25 2.25
W 29 Aug Middlesbrough West Brom 3 1 1.74 4.65
W 25 Aug Doncaster Middlesbrough 1 3 7.20 1.48
L 22 Aug Blackburn Middlesbrough 2 1 3.70 2.02
W 15 Aug Middlesbrough Lincoln 2 1 1.47 8.00
W 7 Aug Middlesbrough Wrexham 1 0 1.72 5.00

Past meetings

Burnley
0·2·0
Middlesbrough
  • Dec 2024 Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Burnley
  • Dec 2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Middlesbrough

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
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