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Burnley vs Bristol City prediction — Championship

Championship · England
1 2.00
X 3.55
2 3.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
83%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Burnley 71%@2.00
Draw 15%@3.55
Bristol City 14%@3.95
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 78%@1.29
Under 1.5 22%@4.57
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.76
No 31%@2.07
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 65%@1.62
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BurnleyModelBristol City
1.23xG1.12
54%Ball possession46%
16Shots12
6Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
BurnleyRealBristol City
0.20xG0.84
53%Ball possession47%
8Shots14
2Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks8
3Yellow cards0
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made7
BurnleyReal · ModelBristol City
0.201.23xG0.841.12
53%54%Ball possession47%46%
816Shots1412
26Shots on goal46
56Corner kicks84
31Yellow cards01
21Offside calls22
1311Fouls made711

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BurnleyPer gameBristol City
1.0Goals for / game1.7
2.0Goals against / game1.3
56%Ball possession44%
14.6Shots per game13.5
6.4Corners per game4.7
1.09Expected goals1.14

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BurnleyRateBristol City
0%Wins40%
80%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.560%
80%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Burnley DLDDL
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Swansea Burnley 3 1 2.12 3.55
D 8 Sept Wrexham Burnley 1 1 2.12 3.60
D 2 Sept Burnley Middlesbrough 1 1 3.20 2.23
L 29 Aug Norwich Burnley 4 1 2.07 3.60
D 26 Aug Bradford Burnley 0 0 3.50 2.23
L 23 Aug West Brom Burnley 3 1 2.63 2.87
D 16 Aug Burnley West Ham 2 2 3.05 2.37
D 8 Aug Burnley Notts County 1 1 1.44 7.70
L 2 Aug Burnley Torino 0 1 2.32 2.95
Bristol City WWLLW
W 3 Oct Crystal Palace(Eng) Bristol City(Eng) 0 2 1.80 4.00
W 18 Sept Bristol City Watford 1 0 1.80 4.60
L 15 Sept Bristol City Lincoln 0 1 1.90 4.25
L 12 Sept Southampton Bristol City 4 1 1.70 4.70
W 1 Sept Preston Bristol City 1 3 2.85 2.47
W 29 Aug Bristol City Portsmouth 2 1 2.18 3.35
D 22 Aug Birmingham Bristol City 2 2 1.78 4.90
L 15 Aug Bristol City Millwall 0 2 2.57 2.80
L 6 Aug Bristol City Walsall 0 1 1.34 8.20
D 1 Aug Exeter Bristol City 1 1 2.96 2.19

Past meetings

Burnley
2·0·0
Bristol City
  • Mar 2025 Burnley 1 - 0 Bristol City
  • Nov 2024 Bristol City 0 - 1 Burnley

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6