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Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 2.50
X 2.95
2 3.65

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
74%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.41 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Bulgaria 29%@2.50
Draw 25%@2.95
Luxembourg 46%@3.65
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 26%@4.01
Under 2.5 74%@1.41
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.32
No 56%@1.58
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 58%@1.74
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BulgariaModelLuxembourg
0.82xG0.87
42%Ball possession58%
7Shots8
3Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made13
BulgariaRealLuxembourg
1.24xG1.30
50%Ball possession50%
10Shots15
7Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
10Fouls made17
BulgariaReal · ModelLuxembourg
1.240.82xG1.300.87
50%42%Ball possession50%58%
107Shots158
73Shots on goal73
53Corner kicks43
22Yellow cards22
32Offside calls21
1012Fouls made1713

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BulgariaPer gameLuxembourg
1.6Goals for / game0.7
2.4Goals against / game1.4
34%Ball possession47%
6.3Shots per game8.5
2.1Corners per game2.8

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BulgariaRateLuxembourg
30%Wins30%
80%Over 1.560%
70%Over 2.530%
40%BTTS10%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Bulgaria LDDLW
L 3 Oct Iceland Bulgaria 3 0 1.60 6.75
D 29 Sept Bulgaria Estonia 0 0 1.90 5.10
D 5 Jun Moldova Bulgaria 2 2 3.40 2.40
L 1 Jun Bulgaria Montenegro 0 1 2.95 2.72
W 30 Mar Indonesia Bulgaria 0 1 2.60 2.75
W 27 Mar Solomon Islands Bulgaria 2 10 41.00 1.05
W 18 Nov Bulgaria Georgia 2 1 4.65 1.85
L 15 Nov Türkiye Bulgaria 2 0 1.11 20.00
L 14 Oct Spain Bulgaria 4 0 1.01 67.00
L 11 Oct Bulgaria Turkiye 1 6 12.50 1.25
Luxembourg LLWLW
L 3 Oct Estonia Luxembourg 1 0 2.88 2.92
L 29 Sept Luxembourg Iceland 0 3 3.50 2.35
W 6 Jun Albania Luxembourg 0 1 1.67 5.90
L 3 Jun Luxembourg Italy 0 1 7.50 1.47
W 31 Mar Luxembourg Malta 3 0 1.75 5.60
W 26 Mar Malta Luxembourg 0 2 4.10 2.27
L 17 Nov N. Ireland Luxembourg 1 0 1.95 5.10
L 14 Nov Luxembourg Germany 0 2 23.00 1.10
L 13 Oct Slovakia Luxembourg 2 0 1.33 10.50
L 10 Oct Germany Luxembourg 4 0 1.08 36.00

Past meetings

Bulgaria
1·1·0
Luxembourg
  • Nov 2024 Luxembourg 0 - 1 Bulgaria
  • Oct 2024 Bulgaria 0 - 0 Luxembourg