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Brighton vs Leeds prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
Brighton €589.90m
Full time 1 : 1
Leeds €396.55m
1 2.02
X 3.70
2 3.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Brighton 63%@2.02
Draw 19%@3.70
Leeds 18%@3.90
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@3.84
Under 3.5 73%@1.42
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.68
No 45%@2.18
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 72%@1.40
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BrightonModelLeeds
2.42xG1.31
60%Ball possession40%
19Shots11
8Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made8
BrightonRealLeeds
1.85xG2.69
67%Ball possession33%
20Shots10
5Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards3
4Offside calls2
13Fouls made16
BrightonReal · ModelLeeds
1.852.42xG2.691.31
67%60%Ball possession33%40%
2019Shots1011
58Shots on goal55
77Corner kicks62
31Yellow cards32
42Offside calls21
1313Fouls made168

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BrightonPer gameLeeds
2.2Goals for / game1.8
1.1Goals against / game1.0
68%Ball possession50%
17.3Shots per game10.0
6.1Corners per game3.5
1.95Expected goals1.14

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BrightonRateLeeds
60%Wins60%
70%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.540%
20%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Brighton WWWLW
W 19 Sept Brighton Arsenal 3 0 5.10 1.74
W 16 Sept Manchester Utd Brighton 2 3 1.88 4.05
W 13 Sept Coventry Brighton 0 5 3.95 1.95
L 30 Aug Chelsea Brighton 4 3 1.92 4.15
W 27 Aug Brighton(Eng) Tromso(Nor) 4 0 1.16 20.00
W 23 Aug Brighton Aston Villa 4 0 2.12 3.50
D 20 Aug Tromso(Nor) Brighton(Eng) 0 0 6.20 1.56
W 15 Aug Brighton(Eng) Bologna(Ita) 1 0 1.65 4.65
W 8 Aug Brighton AS Roma 3 0 2.37 2.85
D 1 Aug Brighton Strasbourg 0 0 – –
Leeds DWLDW
D 20 Sept Leeds Crystal Palace 0 0 1.75 5.00
W 14 Sept Leeds Newcastle 4 1 2.40 3.05
L 9 Sept Chelsea Leeds 6 3 1.95 3.95
D 30 Aug Leeds Brentford 1 1 2.88 2.47
W 25 Aug Nottingham Leeds 0 2 2.47 3.05
W 22 Aug Nottingham Leeds 0 1 2.50 3.05
W 15 Aug Leeds(Eng) Augsburg(Ger) 4 0 1.72 4.30
D 12 Aug Leeds Manchester Utd 1 1 3.45 1.92
W 8 Aug Leeds RB Leipzig 2 0 – –
W 2 Aug Liverpool Leeds 2 4 2.02 3.90

Past meetings

Brighton
1·0·1
Leeds
  • May 2026 Leeds 1 - 0 Brighton
  • Nov 2025 Brighton 3 - 0 Leeds

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3
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