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Brighton vs Aston Villa prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
Brighton €636.50m
Full time 4 : 0
Aston Villa €551.30m
1 2.12
X 3.55
2 3.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.33 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Brighton 55%@2.12
Draw 22%@3.55
Aston Villa 23%@3.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.55
Under 3.5 72%@1.38
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 39%@1.77
No 61%@2.17
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 65%@1.43
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BrightonModelAston Villa
1.73xG1.60
56%Ball possession44%
16Shots13
8Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made11
BrightonRealAston Villa
3.67xG0.31
73%Ball possession27%
21Shots6
6Shots on goal0
5Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards3
6Offside calls2
12Fouls made9
BrightonReal · ModelAston Villa
3.671.73xG0.311.60
73%56%Ball possession27%44%
2116Shots613
68Shots on goal06
56Corner kicks24
21Yellow cards32
61Offside calls21
1213Fouls made911

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BrightonPer gameAston Villa
1.7Goals for / game2.3
1.2Goals against / game1.6
62%Ball possession45%
14.9Shots per game13.2
6.4Corners per game4.2
1.54Expected goals1.60

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BrightonRateAston Villa
50%Wins50%
70%Over 1.5100%
70%Over 2.5100%
30%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Brighton WWWDL
W 19 Sept Brighton Arsenal 3 0 5.10 1.74
W 16 Sept Manchester Utd Brighton 2 3 1.88 4.05
W 13 Sept Coventry Brighton 0 5 3.95 1.95
D 5 Sept Brighton Leeds 1 1 2.02 3.90
L 30 Aug Chelsea Brighton 4 3 1.92 4.15
W 27 Aug Brighton(Eng) Tromso(Nor) 4 0 1.16 20.00
D 20 Aug Tromso(Nor) Brighton(Eng) 0 0 6.20 1.56
W 15 Aug Brighton(Eng) Bologna(Ita) 1 0 1.65 4.65
W 8 Aug Brighton AS Roma 3 0 2.37 2.85
D 1 Aug Brighton Strasbourg 0 0 – –
Aston Villa WWWLW
W 2 Oct Sevilla(Esp) Aston Villa(Eng) 1 3 2.60 2.60
W 19 Sept Tottenham Aston Villa 2 3 1.92 4.20
W 16 Sept Coventry Aston Villa 1 3 3.40 2.17
L 12 Sept Aston Villa Nottingham 1 2 2.25 3.40
W 8 Sept Club Brugge KV(Bel) Aston Villa(Eng) 2 3 2.60 2.82
D 5 Sept Hull Aston Villa 0 0 4.35 1.95
L 31 Aug Aston Villa Arsenal 0 1 6.50 1.57
L 15 Aug Borussia M(Ger) Aston Villa(Eng) 2 1 2.40 2.80
L 12 Aug PSG Aston Villa 2 1 1.67 5.60
L 7 Aug Bayern Munich Aston Villa 2 1 2.12 3.20

Past meetings

Brighton
1·1·3
Aston Villa
  • Feb 2026 Aston Villa 1 - 0 Brighton
  • Dec 2025 Brighton 3 - 4 Aston Villa
  • Apr 2025 Brighton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
  • Dec 2024 Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brighton
  • May 2024 Brighton 1 - 0 Aston Villa

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3
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