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Brighton vs Arsenal prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
1 5.10
X 4.00
2 1.74

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.27 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Brighton 22%@5.10
Draw 28%@4.00
Arsenal 50%@1.74
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 77%@1.27
Under 1.5 23%@4.25
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.80
No 45%@2.02
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 66%@1.45
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BrightonModelArsenal
1.79xG1.82
55%Ball possession45%
17Shots15
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls3
13Fouls made11
BrightonRealArsenal
1.33xG1.48
40%Ball possession60%
17Shots9
5Shots on goal2
5Corner kicks5
4Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
13Fouls made10
BrightonReal · ModelArsenal
1.331.79xG1.481.82
40%55%Ball possession60%45%
1717Shots915
55Shots on goal25
55Corner kicks54
42Yellow cards12
03Offside calls23
1313Fouls made1011

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BrightonPer gameArsenal
2.8Goals for / game2.0
1.0Goals against / game1.0
67%Ball possession56%
19.1Shots per game13.8
5.9Corners per game4.9
2.16Expected goals2.05

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BrightonRateArsenal
70%Wins70%
80%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Brighton WWDLW
W 16 Sept Manchester Utd Brighton 2 3 1.88 4.05
W 13 Sept Coventry Brighton 0 5 3.95 1.95
D 5 Sept Brighton Leeds 1 1 2.02 3.90
L 30 Aug Chelsea Brighton 4 3 1.92 4.15
W 27 Aug Brighton(Eng) Tromso(Nor) 4 0 1.16 20.00
W 23 Aug Brighton Aston Villa 4 0 2.12 3.50
D 20 Aug Tromso(Nor) Brighton(Eng) 0 0 6.20 1.56
W 15 Aug Brighton(Eng) Bologna(Ita) 1 0 1.65 4.65
W 8 Aug Brighton AS Roma 3 0 2.37 2.85
D 1 Aug Brighton Strasbourg 0 0 – –
Arsenal WWWWW
W 15 Sept Ipswich Arsenal 2 4 9.00 1.43
W 12 Sept Sunderland Arsenal 0 2 6.40 1.67
W 9 Sept Napoli(Ita) Arsenal(Eng) 0 1 6.10 1.70
W 6 Sept Arsenal Chelsea 2 1 1.82 5.00
W 31 Aug Aston Villa Arsenal 0 1 6.50 1.57
W 21 Aug Arsenal Coventry 3 0 1.23 16.50
W 16 Aug Arsenal Manchester City 3 0 2.92 2.67
D 12 Aug Arsenal Como 1 1 1.75 5.00
L 9 Aug Arsenal Dortmund 2 3 – –
L 5 Aug Arsenal Betis 1 3 1.55 6.75

Past meetings

Brighton
0·2·4
Arsenal
  • Mar 2026 Brighton 0 - 1 Arsenal
  • Dec 2025 Arsenal 2 - 1 Brighton
  • Oct 2025 Arsenal 2 - 0 Brighton
  • Jan 2025 Brighton 1 - 1 Arsenal
  • Aug 2024 Arsenal 1 - 1 Brighton
  • Apr 2024 Brighton 0 - 3 Arsenal

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3