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Botafogo vs Gremio prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo €117.10m
Full time 3 : 2
Gremio €79.95m
1 1.76
X 3.90
2 4.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.24 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Botafogo 54%@1.76
Draw 25%@3.90
Gremio 21%@4.75
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 77%@1.24
Under 1.5 23%@4.15
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.65
No 45%@2.17
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 67%@1.47
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BotafogoModelGremio
1.53xG0.76
51%Ball possession49%
21Shots10
6Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made13
BotafogoRealGremio
0.87xG0.59
36%Ball possession64%
10Shots13
7Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
13Fouls made11
BotafogoReal · ModelGremio
0.871.53xG0.590.76
36%51%Ball possession64%49%
1021Shots1310
76Shots on goal34
36Corner kicks34
12Yellow cards13
01Offside calls21
1313Fouls made1113

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BotafogoPer gameGremio
0.7Goals for / game1.1
1.5Goals against / game1.1
50%Ball possession48%
17.4Shots per game11.4
5.3Corners per game3.6
1.29Expected goals0.82

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BotafogoRateGremio
20%Wins40%
50%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Botafogo LDDLL
L 19 Sept Mirassol Botafogo 2 0 2.10 3.50
D 13 Sept Botafogo Bragantino 1 1 2.50 2.80
D 6 Sept Botafogo Palmeiras 0 0 3.40 2.15
L 30 Aug Flamengo Botafogo 3 0 1.39 9.00
L 25 Aug Botafogo Atletico P 2 3 2.45 2.92
W 21 Aug Botafogo(Bra) Cienciano(Per) 1 0 1.17 18.00
L 16 Aug Vitoria Botafogo 1 0 2.30 3.25
L 14 Aug Cienciano(Per) Botafogo(Bra) 6 1 2.77 2.75
D 9 Aug Botafogo Fluminense 1 1 2.27 3.35
W 26 Jul Cruzeiro Botafogo 0 1 1.85 4.40
Gremio DLLWW
D 20 Sept Gremio Palmeiras 0 0 4.20 1.98
L 12 Sept Gremio Vasco 1 2 3.50 2.17
L 8 Sept Vitoria Gremio 1 0 2.25 3.50
W 4 Sept Gremio Internacional 3 1 2.90 2.67
W 30 Aug Gremio Chapecoense-sc 3 1 1.60 6.40
D 28 Aug Internacional Gremio 0 0 1.84 5.00
L 23 Aug Bragantino Gremio 1 0 1.60 6.00
L 16 Aug Atletico-MG Gremio 3 0 1.80 5.20
W 8 Aug Gremio Sao Paulo 2 1 2.37 3.35
W 5 Aug Gremio Mirassol 1 0 2.15 4.00

Past meetings

Botafogo
2·2·1
Gremio
  • Feb 2026 Gremio 5 - 3 Botafogo
  • Nov 2025 Botafogo 3 - 2 Gremio
  • Sept 2025 Gremio 1 - 1 Botafogo
  • Sept 2024 Botafogo 0 - 0 Gremio
  • Jun 2024 Gremio 1 - 2 Botafogo

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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