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Birmingham vs Southampton prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Birmingham €95.60m
Full time 1 : 1
Southampton €182.00m
1 2.75
X 3.50
2 2.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
70%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.48 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Birmingham 25%@2.75
Draw 19%@3.50
Southampton 56%@2.55
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.25
Under 1.5 25%@3.75
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.59
No 56%@2.30
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 66%@1.62
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BirminghamModelSouthampton
1.23xG1.85
44%Ball possession56%
10Shots16
4Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made8
BirminghamRealSouthampton
1.20xG0.94
37%Ball possession63%
16Shots13
4Shots on goal4
3Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls5
12Fouls made8
BirminghamReal · ModelSouthampton
1.201.23xG0.941.85
37%44%Ball possession63%56%
1610Shots1316
44Shots on goal46
36Corner kicks55
32Yellow cards22
22Offside calls52
1212Fouls made88

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BirminghamPer gameSouthampton
1.7Goals for / game2.0
1.3Goals against / game1.1
44%Ball possession58%
8.3Shots per game16.9
5.3Corners per game5.6
1.15Expected goals1.94

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BirminghamRateSouthampton
60%Wins70%
70%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Birmingham DWLDW
D 19 Sept Birmingham Middlesbrough 2 2 2.85 2.50
W 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Norwich Birmingham 2 1 1.95 3.90
D 6 Sept Birmingham Wolves 2 2 2.90 2.47
W 28 Aug Wrexham Birmingham 1 2 2.27 3.50
L 25 Aug Birmingham Brentford 1 6 4.25 1.90
D 22 Aug Birmingham Bristol City 2 2 1.78 4.90
D 15 Aug Sheffield Utd Birmingham 0 0 2.32 3.25
W 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
D 31 Jul Birmingham Barcelona 2 2 4.50 1.69
Southampton LWWDW
L 19 Sept Wrexham Southampton 2 1 2.90 2.42
W 12 Sept Southampton Bristol City 4 1 1.70 4.70
W 8 Sept Southampton Swansea 3 1 1.88 4.25
D 5 Sept Lincoln Southampton 1 1 4.25 1.82
W 29 Aug Southampton Millwall 5 1 2.00 3.65
L 25 Aug Southampton West Ham 1 4 2.12 3.50
W 22 Aug Southampton Stoke 3 1 1.61 5.30
L 16 Aug Watford Southampton 2 1 3.70 2.00
W 8 Aug Colchester Southampton 0 2 9.50 1.29
W 1 Aug Preussen M Southampton 1 2 4.65 1.68

Past meetings

Birmingham
0·1·2
Southampton
  • Dec 2025 Birmingham 1 - 1 Southampton
  • Dec 2025 Southampton 3 - 1 Birmingham
  • Mar 2024 Birmingham 3 - 4 Southampton

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
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