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Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction — Championship

Championship · England
1 2.85
X 3.70
2 2.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
81%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.50 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Birmingham 21%@2.85
Draw 16%@3.70
Middlesbrough 63%@2.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 79%@1.71
Under 2.5 21%@6.43
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 78%@1.58
No 22%@2.30
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 72%@1.76
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BirminghamModelMiddlesbrough
1.42xG1.60
43%Ball possession57%
12Shots18
4Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
13Fouls made11
BirminghamRealMiddlesbrough
1.14xG1.93
48%Ball possession52%
15Shots15
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards0
1Offside calls0
11Fouls made11
BirminghamReal · ModelMiddlesbrough
1.141.42xG1.931.60
48%43%Ball possession52%57%
1512Shots1518
54Shots on goal45
55Corner kicks36
22Yellow cards02
12Offside calls03
1113Fouls made1111

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BirminghamPer gameMiddlesbrough
1.4Goals for / game1.8
1.7Goals against / game1.4
44%Ball possession60%
11.4Shots per game17.7
5.4Corners per game6.3
1.43Expected goals1.85

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BirminghamRateMiddlesbrough
30%Wins60%
80%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Birmingham WLDDW
W 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Norwich Birmingham 2 1 1.95 3.90
D 6 Sept Birmingham Wolves 2 2 2.90 2.47
D 1 Sept Birmingham Southampton 1 1 2.75 2.55
W 28 Aug Wrexham Birmingham 1 2 2.27 3.50
L 25 Aug Birmingham Brentford 1 6 4.25 1.90
D 22 Aug Birmingham Bristol City 2 2 1.78 4.90
D 15 Aug Sheffield Utd Birmingham 0 0 2.32 3.25
W 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
D 31 Jul Birmingham Barcelona 2 2 4.50 1.69
Middlesbrough DWLWD
D 15 Sept Middlesbrough Millwall 2 2 1.47 6.90
W 12 Sept Middlesbrough Norwich 4 3 1.87 3.95
L 8 Sept Crystal Palace Middlesbrough 3 0 2.22 3.35
W 5 Sept QPR Middlesbrough 0 1 3.25 2.25
D 2 Sept Burnley Middlesbrough 1 1 3.20 2.23
W 29 Aug Middlesbrough West Brom 3 1 1.74 4.65
W 25 Aug Doncaster Middlesbrough 1 3 7.20 1.48
L 22 Aug Blackburn Middlesbrough 2 1 3.70 2.02
W 15 Aug Middlesbrough Lincoln 2 1 1.47 8.00
W 7 Aug Middlesbrough Wrexham 1 0 1.72 5.00

Past meetings

Birmingham
0·0·3
Middlesbrough
  • Mar 2026 Birmingham 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
  • Nov 2025 Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Birmingham
  • Mar 2024 Birmingham 0 - 1 Middlesbrough

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6