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Birmingham vs Brentford prediction — League Cup

League Cup · England
1 4.25
X 3.85
2 1.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
74%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.43 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Birmingham 25%@4.25
Draw 27%@3.85
Brentford 48%@1.90
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@4.07
Under 3.5 74%@1.43
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.65
No 56%@2.16
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 59%@1.36
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BirminghamModelBrentford
1.06xG2.03
54%Ball possession46%
9Shots15
4Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made11
BirminghamRealBrentford
0.50xG2.06
31%Ball possession69%
8Shots17
2Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
0Offside calls1
9Fouls made12
BirminghamReal · ModelBrentford
0.501.06xG2.062.03
31%54%Ball possession69%46%
89Shots1715
24Shots on goal86
45Corner kicks65
21Yellow cards11
02Offside calls12
913Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BirminghamPer gameBrentford
1.7Goals for / game2.3
0.8Goals against / game1.2
47%Ball possession49%
9.2Shots per game14.3
6.2Corners per game5.2
1.20Expected goals2.06

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BirminghamRateBrentford
60%Wins40%
70%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.580%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Birmingham DWLDD
D 19 Sept Birmingham Middlesbrough 2 2 2.85 2.50
W 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Norwich Birmingham 2 1 1.95 3.90
D 6 Sept Birmingham Wolves 2 2 2.90 2.47
D 1 Sept Birmingham Southampton 1 1 2.75 2.55
W 28 Aug Wrexham Birmingham 1 2 2.27 3.50
D 22 Aug Birmingham Bristol City 2 2 1.78 4.90
D 15 Aug Sheffield Utd Birmingham 0 0 2.32 3.25
W 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
D 31 Jul Birmingham Barcelona 2 2 4.50 1.69
Brentford WWDDD
W 18 Sept Brentford Chelsea 3 0 2.70 2.62
W 15 Sept Reading Brentford 1 2 12.00 1.25
D 12 Sept Bournemouth Brentford 2 2 2.37 2.90
D 5 Sept Brentford Sunderland 1 1 1.80 5.20
D 30 Aug Leeds Brentford 1 1 2.88 2.47
W 22 Aug Brentford Tottenham 3 0 2.10 3.60
W 15 Aug Brentford(Eng) Frankfurt(Ger) 7 0 2.05 3.20
W 8 Aug Rennes Brentford 2 4 2.25 2.86
D 24 May Liverpool Brentford 1 1 1.90 4.20
D 17 May Brentford Crystal Palace 2 2 1.78 4.70

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.