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BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava prediction — Virsliga

Virsliga · Latvia
BFC Daugavpils €2.22m
Full time 2 : 1
Jelgava €2.17m
1 2.12
X 3.40
2 3.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.30 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
BFC Daugavpils 78%@2.12
Draw 11%@3.40
Jelgava 11%@3.25
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@3.73
Under 3.5 73%@1.38
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 40%@1.66
No 60%@2.12
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 72%@1.53
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BFC DaugavpilsModelJelgava
1.64xG0.87
50%Ball possession50%
14Shots11
8Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made12
BFC DaugavpilsRealJelgava
1.25xG1.54
47%Ball possession53%
19Shots10
7Shots on goal4
9Corner kicks0
3Yellow cards2
4Offside calls0
13Fouls made14
BFC DaugavpilsReal · ModelJelgava
1.251.64xG1.540.87
47%50%Ball possession53%50%
1914Shots1011
78Shots on goal44
94Corner kicks04
31Yellow cards22
42Offside calls01
1312Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BFC DaugavpilsPer gameJelgava
1.4Goals for / game1.3
1.0Goals against / game1.4
48%Ball possession43%
14.3Shots per game11.8
3.8Corners per game5.0
1.61Expected goals1.05

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BFC DaugavpilsRateJelgava
30%Wins30%
60%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

BFC Daugavpils DLDLL
D 19 Sept FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils 0 0 2.15 3.10
L 13 Sept BFC Daugavpils Rigas FS 1 2 8.00 1.32
D 7 Sept Riga BFC Daugavpils 1 1 1.22 11.00
L 2 Sept BFC Daugavpils Auda 2 3 – –
L 29 Aug Grobina BFC Daugavpils 1 0 3.15 2.10
D 22 Aug Super Nova BFC Daugavpils 0 0 3.95 1.82
W 14 Aug BFC Daugavpils Ogre United 3 1 1.27 8.25
W 8 Aug BFC Daugavpils Tukums 2 0 1.75 4.05
L 26 Jul Auda BFC Daugavpils 1 0 2.25 3.15
W 19 Jul Ogre United BFC Daugavpils 0 4 3.95 1.87
Jelgava LDLWW
L 19 Sept Jelgava Riga 0 1 7.50 1.33
D 12 Sept Grobina Jelgava 0 0 2.48 2.73
L 5 Sept Jelgava Super Nova 0 1 1.90 3.70
W 29 Aug Tukums Jelgava 1 4 2.72 2.35
W 22 Aug Ogre United Jelgava 2 3 3.35 2.12
L 9 Aug Jelgava Auda 0 1 3.40 2.12
L 26 Jul Jelgava FK Liepaja 0 2 3.00 2.17
L 20 Jul Jelgava Rigas FS 0 1 9.00 1.30
L 12 Jul Rigas FS Jelgava 2 0 – –
L 3 Jul Riga Jelgava 3 0 1.17 14.00

Past meetings

BFC Daugavpils
3·2·1
Jelgava
  • May 2026 Jelgava 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
  • Apr 2026 BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 Jelgava
  • Oct 2025 Jelgava 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils
  • Jul 2025 BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Jelgava
  • May 2025 BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 Jelgava
  • Apr 2025 Jelgava 4 - 1 BFC Daugavpils

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 32 +49 76
2 Riga 32 +56 74
3 Auda 32 +19 62
4 FK Liepaja 32 -2 44
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 0 40
6 Super Nova 32 -11 37
7 Jelgava 32 -17 33
8 Grobina 32 -31 27
9 Tukums 32 -17 25
10 Ogre United 32 -46 19
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