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Benfica vs Aarhus prediction — UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa League · World
Benfica(Por) €365.55m
Full time 3 : 1
Aarhus(Den) €35.72m
1 1.14
X 9.10
2 19.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
95%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.35 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Benfica 57%@1.14
Draw 29%@9.10
Aarhus 14%@19.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 95%@1.35
Under 2.5 5%@25.65
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@2.15
No 44%@1.75
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BenficaModelAarhus
3.17xG1.24
56%Ball possession44%
25Shots11
14Shots on goal6
9Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made13
BenficaRealAarhus
4.61xG0.49
71%Ball possession29%
31Shots3
13Shots on goal1
11Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls0
10Fouls made17
BenficaReal · ModelAarhus
4.613.17xG0.491.24
71%56%Ball possession29%44%
3125Shots311
1314Shots on goal16
119Corner kicks15
21Yellow cards12
12Offside calls01
1011Fouls made1713

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BenficaPer gameAarhus
3.3Goals for / game1.8
1.0Goals against / game1.7
63%Ball possession49%
21.4Shots per game13.3
7.6Corners per game5.6
2.79Expected goals1.44

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BenficaRateAarhus
60%Wins40%
100%Over 1.5100%
80%Over 2.580%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Benfica(Por) LWWWW
L 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
W 16 Sept AC Milan(Ita) Benfica(Por) 0 2 2.30 3.20
W 13 Sept Benfica GIL Vicente 3 1 1.14 23.00
W 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
W 5 Sept Maritimo Benfica 0 3 16.50 1.21
W 31 Aug Benfica Estoril 2 1 1.13 24.00
W 27 Aug Aarhus(Den) Benfica(Por) 1 3 7.20 1.44
W 17 Aug Casa Pia Benfica 0 7 17.00 1.22
D 13 Aug Heart M(Sco) Benfica(Por) 1 1 7.00 1.49
D 9 Aug Benfica Academico Viseu 2 2 1.14 21.00
Aarhus(Den) WDWLD
W 2 Oct Aarhus(Den) Vendsyssel(Den) 2 1 1.42 6.60
D 20 Sept Horsens Aarhus 2 2 4.00 1.91
W 16 Sept Skjold Aarhus 1 6 – –
L 13 Sept Nordsjaelland Aarhus 2 0 1.80 4.10
D 5 Sept Aarhus Silkeborg 2 2 1.50 6.10
L 2 Sept Aarhus Midtjylland 0 2 3.20 2.27
L 30 Aug Randers FC Aarhus 2 1 3.10 2.32
L 27 Aug Aarhus(Den) Benfica(Por) 1 3 7.20 1.44
D 23 Aug Aarhus Odense 2 2 1.91 4.00
L 14 Aug Viborg Aarhus 2 1 2.04 3.60

Past meetings

Benfica(Por)
1·0·0
Aarhus(Den)
  • Aug 2026 Aarhus 1 - 3 Benfica
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