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Belgium vs France prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 3.45
X 3.90
2 2.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
64%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.65 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Belgium 23%@3.45
Draw 41%@3.90
France 36%@2.20
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 64%@1.65
Under 2.5 36%@2.93
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.53
No 44%@2.53
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@2.06
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BelgiumModelFrance
1.67xG1.62
46%Ball possession54%
16Shots17
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
BelgiumRealFrance
0.74xG1.15
35%Ball possession65%
12Shots18
2Shots on goal7
2Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards0
0Offside calls1
12Fouls made9
BelgiumReal · ModelFrance
0.741.67xG1.151.62
35%46%Ball possession65%54%
1216Shots1817
25Shots on goal75
25Corner kicks65
32Yellow cards02
01Offside calls12
1212Fouls made912

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BelgiumPer gameFrance
2.4Goals for / game2.4
0.8Goals against / game1.1
51%Ball possession58%
17.1Shots per game17.8
5.1Corners per game5.9
1.88Expected goals2.04

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BelgiumRateFrance
60%Wins80%
90%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Belgium WWLWW
W 2 Oct Belgium Turkiye 3 0 1.52 6.30
W 25 Sept Italy Belgium 0 2 2.25 3.35
L 10 Jul Spain Belgium 2 1 1.72 5.70
W 7 Jul USA Belgium 1 4 2.65 2.95
W 1 Jul Belgium Senegal 3 2 2.10 4.05
W 27 Jun New Zealand Belgium 1 5 14.00 1.22
D 21 Jun Belgium Iran 0 0 1.47 8.50
D 15 Jun Belgium Egypt 1 1 1.60 6.60
W 6 Jun Belgium Tunisia 5 0 1.39 9.50
W 2 Jun Croatia Belgium 0 2 2.77 2.70
France DWLLW
D 2 Oct France Italy 1 1 1.52 6.60
W 25 Sept Turkiye France 0 1 8.00 1.38
L 18 Jul France England 4 6 1.88 4.30
L 14 Jul France Spain 0 2 2.67 3.20
W 9 Jul France Morocco 2 0 1.65 6.50
W 4 Jul Paraguay France 0 1 21.00 1.23
W 30 Jun France Sweden 3 0 1.34 10.25
W 26 Jun Norway France 1 4 7.40 1.45
W 22 Jun France Iraq 3 0 1.10 38.00
W 16 Jun France Senegal 3 1 1.53 7.40

Past meetings

Belgium
0·0·3
France
  • Oct 2024 Belgium 1 - 2 France
  • Sept 2024 France 2 - 0 Belgium
  • Jul 2024 France 1 - 0 Belgium