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Basel (Sui) vs Lugano prediction — Super League

Super League · Switzerland
1 3.15
X 3.75
2 2.18

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.42 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Basel (Sui) 21%@3.15
Draw 17%@3.75
Lugano 62%@2.18
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 34%@3.05
Under 3.5 66%@1.57
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.50
No 40%@2.50
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 66%@1.58
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Basel (Sui)ModelLugano
1.19xG1.91
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots15
5Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made14
Basel (Sui)RealLugano
0.31xG1.64
45%Ball possession55%
5Shots23
2Shots on goal5
1Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards5
1Offside calls0
13Fouls made15
Basel (Sui)Real · ModelLugano
0.311.19xG1.641.91
45%49%Ball possession55%51%
512Shots2315
25Shots on goal57
14Corner kicks76
13Yellow cards52
11Offside calls01
1312Fouls made1514

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Basel (Sui)Per gameLugano
2.1Goals for / game3.4
1.7Goals against / game0.8
47%Ball possession56%
10.2Shots per game16.7
3.6Corners per game6.0
1.28Expected goals2.03

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Basel (Sui)RateLugano
40%Wins80%
70%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.570%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Basel (Sui) LLWLD
L 3 Oct Winterthur(Sui) Basel (Sui)(Sui) 7 3 4.15 1.70
L 20 Sept Basel (Sui) St. Gallen 1 3 2.57 2.43
W 13 Sept Luzern Basel (Sui) 2 4 2.15 3.10
L 3 Sept Basel (Sui) Sion 1 2 2.55 2.70
D 29 Aug Young Boys Basel (Sui) 3 3 1.52 5.50
W 22 Aug Zurich Basel (Sui) 1 2 2.80 2.33
L 16 Aug Basel (Sui)(Sui) Barcelona(Esp) 2 5 7.20 1.32
W 15 Aug Courtetelle Basel (Sui) 1 6 32.00 1.07
W 9 Aug Basel (Sui) Thun 4 2 2.17 3.45
L 1 Aug Basel (Sui) Lausanne 0 1 1.97 3.65
Lugano LWWDW
L 2 Oct Lugano(Sui) Verona(Ita) 1 3 2.40 2.82
W 20 Sept Lausanne Lugano 0 4 3.80 1.96
W 16 Sept Lugano St. Gallen 4 1 2.15 3.10
D 12 Sept Lugano Young Boys 2 2 2.18 3.15
W 3 Sept Lugano Servette 1 0 2.50 2.67
W 30 Aug Sion Lugano 1 2 2.40 2.95
D 27 Aug Maccabi(Isr) Lugano(Sui) 1 1 2.52 2.70
W 20 Aug Lugano(Sui) Maccabi(Isr) 2 1 1.80 4.35
W 16 Aug Vedeggio Lugano 1 10 – –
D 13 Aug NSI Runavik(Fro) Lugano(Sui) 2 2 7.50 1.40

Past meetings

Basel (Sui)
2·1·3
Lugano
  • May 2026 Lugano 4 - 0 Basel (Sui)
  • Feb 2026 Basel (Sui) 1 - 1 Lugano
  • Nov 2025 Basel (Sui) 0 - 1 Lugano
  • Aug 2025 Lugano 3 - 1 Basel (Sui)
  • May 2025 Lugano 2 - 5 Basel (Sui)
  • Apr 2025 Basel (Sui) 2 - 0 Lugano

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Lugano 10 +20 26
2 Young Boys 10 +13 20
3 Sion 10 +9 20
4 Basel (Sui) 10 0 14
5 St. Gallen 10 -3 14
6 Luzern 10 -1 13
7 Zurich 10 -6 12
8 Servette 10 -2 11
9 Thun 10 -8 11
10 Grasshoppers 10 -11 9
11 Vaduz 10 -3 7
12 Lausanne 10 -8 7