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Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
Barcelona €1.29bn
Full time 5 : 2
Rayo Vallecano €78.75m
1 1.12
X 12.00
2 24.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
75%Chance
Barcelona scores at least 2 HS2+ Odds @1.17 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Barcelona 64%@1.12
Draw 24%@12.00
Rayo Vallecano 12%@24.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 63%@1.23
Under 2.5 37%@2.09
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 34%@1.96
No 66%@1.87
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BarcelonaModelRayo Vallecano
2.70xG1.03
56%Ball possession44%
17Shots10
9Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards3
4Offside calls1
11Fouls made16
BarcelonaRealRayo Vallecano
2.83xG1.13
69%Ball possession31%
26Shots11
9Shots on goal5
9Corner kicks5
0Yellow cards1
3Offside calls4
4Fouls made11
BarcelonaReal · ModelRayo Vallecano
2.832.70xG1.131.03
69%56%Ball possession31%44%
2617Shots1110
99Shots on goal55
97Corner kicks53
01Yellow cards13
34Offside calls41
411Fouls made1116

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BarcelonaPer gameRayo Vallecano
2.5Goals for / game1.2
1.1Goals against / game1.4
67%Ball possession51%
15.8Shots per game10.0
6.3Corners per game3.2
2.76Expected goals1.16

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BarcelonaRateRayo Vallecano
70%Wins30%
80%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Barcelona WWWWW
W 19 Sept Sevilla Barcelona 1 3 9.50 1.33
W 16 Sept Barcelona Racing S 7 2 1.09 31.00
W 13 Sept Levante Barcelona 2 4 16.50 1.21
W 9 Sept Barcelona(Esp) Feyenoord(Ned) 5 1 1.10 35.00
W 6 Sept Valencia Barcelona 0 5 10.50 1.30
W 27 Aug Barcelona Athletic C 2 0 1.26 13.50
W 23 Aug Elche Barcelona 0 5 9.00 1.38
W 19 Aug Barcelona(Esp) Al Ahly(Egy) 2 1 1.11 18.00
W 16 Aug Basel (Sui)(Sui) Barcelona(Esp) 2 5 7.20 1.32
L 8 Aug Udinese Barcelona 1 0 – –
Rayo Vallecano DWLWD
D 19 Sept Osasuna Rayo Vallecano 1 1 2.75 2.67
W 15 Sept Rayo Vallecano Espanyol 2 1 2.37 3.30
L 12 Sept Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano 4 1 1.18 18.00
W 5 Sept Rayo Vallecano Racing S 3 2 1.98 3.95
D 20 Aug Rayo Vallecano Alaves 1 1 2.45 3.40
L 15 Aug Sevilla Rayo Vallecano 2 1 2.70 3.30
L 8 Aug Ipswich Rayo Vallecano 3 0 2.20 3.10
W 1 Aug Charleroi Rayo Vallecano 2 3 3.55 2.10
D 26 Jul Feyenoord Rayo Vallecano 1 1 2.40 2.70
L 17 Jul Heart M Rayo Vallecano 2 1 2.80 3.00

Past meetings

Barcelona
4·1·0
Rayo Vallecano
  • Mar 2026 Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
  • Aug 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Barcelona
  • Feb 2025 Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
  • Aug 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 2 Barcelona
  • May 2024 Barcelona 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 +24 22
2 Atl. Madrid 8 +9 17
3 Betis 8 +2 17
4 Real Madrid 8 +10 16
5 Sevilla 8 +1 14
6 Alaves 8 +5 12
7 Dep. A Coruna 9 +2 12
8 Real Sociedad 8 -4 11
9 Villarreal 8 +1 9
10 Athletic C 7 +1 9
11 Getafe 8 -3 9
12 Rayo Vallecano 8 -5 9
13 Osasuna 8 -7 9
14 Celta Vigo 8 +2 8
15 Espanyol 8 0 8
16 Racing S 8 -10 8
17 Levante 8 -4 7
18 Elche 8 -6 6
19 Valencia 8 -9 5
20 Malaga 8 -9 4
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