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Bahia vs Vasco prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Bahia €120.60m
Full time 0 : 0
Vasco €107.40m
1 2.02
X 3.50
2 3.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
84%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.35 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Bahia 54%@2.02
Draw 24%@3.50
Vasco 22%@3.80
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 16%@7.09
Under 3.5 84%@1.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.75
No 45%@2.08
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 64%@1.50
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BahiaModelVasco
1.29xG0.94
53%Ball possession47%
16Shots11
6Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
14Fouls made15
BahiaRealVasco
0.53xG0.65
51%Ball possession49%
11Shots14
2Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards2
3Offside calls4
13Fouls made10
BahiaReal · ModelVasco
0.531.29xG0.650.94
51%53%Ball possession49%47%
1116Shots1411
26Shots on goal35
47Corner kicks64
12Yellow cards22
31Offside calls41
1314Fouls made1015

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BahiaPer gameVasco
1.4Goals for / game1.1
1.2Goals against / game1.2
58%Ball possession53%
15.9Shots per game14.6
6.6Corners per game4.5
1.36Expected goals1.22

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BahiaRateVasco
30%Wins30%
90%Over 1.560%
40%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Bahia LWWWW
L 20 Sept Atletico P Bahia 2 1 2.40 3.10
W 15 Sept Bahia Remo 2 1 1.45 7.40
W 5 Sept Bragantino Bahia 2 3 1.98 3.80
W 30 Aug Bahia Internacional 3 2 1.83 4.65
W 23 Aug Vitoria Bahia 0 2 2.80 2.71
D 16 Aug Chapecoense-sc Bahia 3 3 3.65 2.07
D 30 Jul Fluminense Bahia 0 0 1.70 5.00
D 26 Jul Bahia Corinthians 1 1 2.42 3.20
D 21 Jul Atletico-MG Bahia 1 1 1.92 4.20
W 17 Jul Bahia Chapecoense-sc 2 0 1.45 7.50
Vasco WWWDL
W 20 Sept Vasco Coritiba 5 0 1.42 9.00
W 15 Sept Vasco(Bra) Santa Fe(Col) 2 0 1.45 9.00
W 12 Sept Gremio Vasco 1 2 3.50 2.17
D 8 Sept Santa Fe(Col) Vasco(Bra) 0 0 2.32 4.00
L 6 Sept Fluminense Vasco 1 0 2.52 3.25
W 3 Sept Vitoria Vasco 0 2 2.72 2.70
W 30 Aug Vasco Cruzeiro 3 1 2.05 3.90
W 27 Aug Vasco Vitoria 1 0 1.67 6.30
L 23 Aug Palmeiras Vasco 4 1 1.67 5.70
W 20 Aug Olimpia(Par) Vasco(Bra) 1 4 2.85 2.85

Past meetings

Bahia
3·0·2
Vasco
  • Feb 2026 Vasco 0 - 1 Bahia
  • Nov 2025 Bahia 1 - 0 Vasco
  • Sept 2025 Vasco 3 - 1 Bahia
  • Oct 2024 Vasco 3 - 2 Bahia
  • Jun 2024 Bahia 2 - 1 Vasco

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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