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Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town prediction — FAW Championship

1 2.77
X 3.60
2 2.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.65 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Baglan Dragons 24%@2.77
Draw 19%@3.60
Carmarthen Town 57%@2.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 89%@1.65
Under 2.5 11%@13.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 73%@1.58
No 27%@2.22
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.80
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Baglan DragonsModelCarmarthen Town
49%Ball possession51%
7Shots11
3Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks4
3Fouls made4
Baglan DragonsRealCarmarthen Town
56%Ball possession44%
13Shots12
6Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks5
0Fouls made0
Baglan DragonsReal · ModelCarmarthen Town
56%49%Ball possession44%51%
137Shots1211
63Shots on goal65
63Corner kicks54
03Fouls made04

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Baglan DragonsPer gameCarmarthen Town
0.9Goals for / game2.4
1.1Goals against / game2.4
46%Ball possession49%
4.5Shots per game10.5
2.2Corners per game3.8

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Baglan DragonsRateCarmarthen Town
40%Wins40%
60%Over 1.5100%
40%Over 2.5100%
40%BTTS100%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Baglan Dragons WLWLW
W 2 Oct Llanelli Baglan Dragons 1 2 2.95 2.12
L 12 Sept Cardiff D Baglan Dragons 2 1 2.25 2.75
W 4 Sept Baglan Dragons Afan Lido 2 1 2.37 2.65
L 31 Aug Baglan Dragons Caerphilly 0 1 3.05 2.10
W 28 Aug Baglan Dragons Caerau Ely 3 1 4.75 1.57
W 21 Aug Newport City Baglan Dragons 0 1 1.56 5.00
W 15 Aug Llantwit Major Baglan Dragons 0 1 2.02 3.30
L 9 Aug Baglan Dragons Pure Swansea 0 3 2.40 2.50
D 31 Jul Trethomas Baglan Dragons 0 0 1.75 3.90
D 18 Apr Baglan Dragons Trethomas 1 1 3.45 1.90
Carmarthen Town LDLDL
L 2 Oct Carmarthen Town Llantwit Major 1 2 1.58 4.40
D 12 Sept Carmarthen Town Ynyshir Albions 2 2 1.87 3.40
L 31 Aug Carmarthen Town Trethomas 2 3 2.07 2.90
D 28 Aug Llanelli Carmarthen Town 2 2 3.50 1.83
L 22 Aug Carmarthen Town Treowen 2 4 1.90 3.25
W 14 Aug Carmarthen Town Afan Lido 3 1 1.68 4.15
W 8 Aug Newport City Carmarthen Town 1 2 2.72 2.27
W 1 Aug Carmarthen Town Caerau Ely 4 3 3.05 2.10
L 18 Apr Treowen Carmarthen Town 4 1 4.90 1.50
L 4 Apr Carmarthen Town Pontypridd 0 1 1.57 4.70

Past meetings

Baglan Dragons
0·3·2
Carmarthen Town
  • Mar 2026 Baglan Dragons 0 - 7 Carmarthen Town
  • Aug 2025 Carmarthen Town 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons
  • Apr 2025 Baglan Dragons 1 - 1 Carmarthen Town
  • Aug 2024 Carmarthen Town 3 - 2 Baglan Dragons
  • Apr 2024 Baglan Dragons 2 - 2 Carmarthen Town

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Brickfield 11 +20 28
2 Newtown 10 +15 23
3 Pure Swansea 9 +19 21
4 Mold Alexandra 11 +11 21
5 Porthmadog 11 +6 21
6 Aberystwyth 9 +14 20
7 Caersws 10 +8 20
8 Bala 11 +2 19
9 Pontypridd 10 +4 18
10 Bangor 1876 11 +5 17
11 Guilsfield 11 +4 17
12 Caerau Ely 10 +2 17
13 Baglan Dragons 11 0 17
14 Carmarthen Town 10 +1 15
15 Ynyshir Albions 9 +2 14
16 Treowen 10 0 14
17 Buckley 11 +5 13
18 Afan Lido 11 -4 12
19 Llanuwchllyn 11 -10 12
20 Trethomas 10 0 11
21 Rhyl 11 -2 11
22 Pontardawe 9 -2 10
23 Newport City 8 +4 9
24 Cardiff D 8 -3 9
25 Caerphilly 10 -8 9
26 Llantwit Major 9 -10 9
27 Ruthin 11 -11 9
28 Denbigh 11 -5 8
29 Holyhead 10 -7 8
30 Gresford 10 -15 8
31 Llanelli 11 -19 3
32 Penrhyncoch 11 -26 2