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Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely prediction — FAW Championship

FAW Championship · Wales
Baglan Dragons -
Full time 3 : 1
Caerau Ely
1 4.75
X 4.10
2 1.57

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
80%Chance
Caerau (Ely) win 2 Odds @1.57 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Baglan Dragons 9%@4.75
Draw 11%@4.10
Caerau Ely 80%@1.57
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 29%@3.53
Under 3.5 71%@1.44
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.70
No 45%@2.02
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 81%@1.38
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What the model expects over a full match.

Baglan DragonsStatCaerau Ely
48%Ball possession52%
0Shots13
1Shots on goal6
2Corner kicks5

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Baglan DragonsPer gameCaerau Ely
0.4Goals for / game2.1
1.8Goals against / game2.1

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Baglan DragonsRateCaerau Ely
20%Wins30%
50%Over 1.590%
30%Over 2.560%
20%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Baglan Dragons WLLWL
W 2 Oct Llanelli Baglan Dragons 1 2 2.95 2.12
L 25 Sept Baglan Dragons Carmarthen Town 1 2 2.77 2.25
L 12 Sept Cardiff D Baglan Dragons 2 1 2.25 2.75
W 4 Sept Baglan Dragons Afan Lido 2 1 2.37 2.65
L 31 Aug Baglan Dragons Caerphilly 0 1 3.05 2.10
W 21 Aug Newport City Baglan Dragons 0 1 1.56 5.00
W 15 Aug Llantwit Major Baglan Dragons 0 1 2.02 3.30
L 9 Aug Baglan Dragons Pure Swansea 0 3 2.40 2.50
D 31 Jul Trethomas Baglan Dragons 0 0 1.75 3.90
D 18 Apr Baglan Dragons Trethomas 1 1 3.45 1.90
Caerau Ely WWWWL
W 2 Oct Caerau Ely Afan Lido 2 0 1.42 5.55
W 26 Sept Cardiff D Caerau Ely 1 3 3.35 1.87
W 11 Sept Caerau Ely Llanelli 2 0 1.27 7.80
W 31 Aug Caerau Ely Treowen 3 2 1.82 3.45
L 21 Aug Caerau Ely Pure Swansea 1 5 2.60 2.37
W 14 Aug Trethomas Caerau Ely 2 4 3.60 1.85
D 7 Aug Caerau Ely Ynyshir Albions 1 1 1.31 7.20
L 1 Aug Carmarthen Town Caerau Ely 4 3 3.05 2.10
D 25 Jul Caerau Ely Barnstapl 4 4 – –
L 21 Jul Haverfordwest Caerau Ely 2 1 – –

Past meetings

Baglan Dragons
2·0·4
Caerau Ely
  • Mar 2026 Baglan Dragons 0 - 5 Caerau Ely
  • Sept 2025 Caerau Ely 2 - 1 Baglan Dragons
  • Aug 2025 Caerau Ely 1 - 0 Baglan Dragons
  • Jan 2025 Baglan Dragons 2 - 1 Caerau Ely
  • Nov 2024 Caerau Ely 2 - 1 Baglan Dragons
  • Jan 2024 Baglan Dragons 2 - 0 Caerau Ely

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Brickfield 11 +20 28
2 Newtown 10 +15 23
3 Pure Swansea 9 +19 21
4 Mold Alexandra 11 +11 21
5 Porthmadog 11 +6 21
6 Aberystwyth 9 +14 20
7 Caersws 10 +8 20
8 Bala 11 +2 19
9 Pontypridd 10 +4 18
10 Bangor 1876 11 +5 17
11 Guilsfield 11 +4 17
12 Caerau Ely 10 +2 17
13 Baglan Dragons 11 0 17
14 Carmarthen Town 10 +1 15
15 Ynyshir Albions 9 +2 14
16 Treowen 10 0 14
17 Buckley 11 +5 13
18 Afan Lido 11 -4 12
19 Llanuwchllyn 11 -10 12
20 Trethomas 10 0 11
21 Rhyl 11 -2 11
22 Pontardawe 9 -2 10
23 Newport City 8 +4 9
24 Cardiff D 8 -3 9
25 Caerphilly 10 -8 9
26 Llantwit Major 9 -10 9
27 Ruthin 11 -11 9
28 Denbigh 11 -5 8
29 Holyhead 10 -7 8
30 Gresford 10 -15 8
31 Llanelli 11 -19 3
32 Penrhyncoch 11 -26 2
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day