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Azerbaijan vs Lithuania prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Azerbaijan €16.38m
Full time 1 : 0
Lithuania €21.88m
1 2.60
X 2.95
2 3.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.48 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Azerbaijan 31%@2.60
Draw 27%@2.95
Lithuania 42%@3.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 15%@8.39
Under 2.5 85%@1.48
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 30%@2.22
No 70%@1.67
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 3.5 55%@1.95
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AzerbaijanModelLithuania
1.21xG1.03
48%Ball possession52%
15Shots11
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made13
AzerbaijanRealLithuania
1.94xG1.15
38%Ball possession62%
13Shots13
7Shots on goal3
2Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
14Fouls made10
AzerbaijanReal · ModelLithuania
1.941.21xG1.151.03
38%48%Ball possession62%52%
1315Shots1311
75Shots on goal34
25Corner kicks55
32Yellow cards32
12Offside calls12
1413Fouls made1013

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AzerbaijanPer gameLithuania
1.3Goals for / game0.9
1.3Goals against / game1.1
48%Ball possession53%
12.9Shots per game10.6
4.8Corners per game5.1

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AzerbaijanRateLithuania
30%Wins30%
80%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.520%
60%BTTS20%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Azerbaijan DDWWL
D 1 Oct Azerbaijan Liechtenstein 0 0 1.12 28.00
D 27 Sept Lithuania Azerbaijan 1 1 2.35 3.65
W 23 Sept Azerbaijan Tajikistan 1 0 2.00 4.60
W 9 Jun Azerbaijan San Marino 2 1 1.17 18.00
L 5 Jun Azerbaijan Malta 0 2 2.05 4.80
D 30 Mar Azerbaijan Sierra Leone 1 1 1.66 5.40
W 27 Mar Azerbaijan St. Lucia 6 1 1.09 26.00
L 16 Nov Azerbaijan France 1 3 40.00 1.13
L 13 Nov Azerbaijan Iceland 0 2 6.00 1.53
L 13 Oct Ukraine Azerbaijan 2 1 1.22 12.50
Lithuania WDWDL
W 30 Sept Lithuania Andorra 3 0 1.64 6.70
D 27 Sept Lithuania Azerbaijan 1 1 2.35 3.65
W 24 Sept Liechtenstein Lithuania 0 2 14.50 1.33
D 6 Jun Lithuania Latvia 1 1 2.27 3.15
L 29 Mar Lithuania Georgia 0 2 5.30 1.70
W 26 Mar Moldova Lithuania 0 2 3.00 2.75
L 17 Nov Netherlands Lithuania 4 0 1.06 45.00
D 13 Nov Lithuania Israel 0 0 5.00 1.65
L 12 Oct Lithuania Poland 0 2 8.75 1.36
L 9 Oct Finland Lithuania 2 1 1.45 8.00

Past meetings

Azerbaijan
0·1·0
Lithuania
  • Sept 2026 Lithuania 1 - 1 Azerbaijan
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