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AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction — Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar €129.30m
Full time 1 : 1
Willem II €21.65m
1 1.19
X 10.00
2 17.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
57%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @5.75 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
AZ Alkmaar 43%@1.19
Draw 36%@10.00
Willem II 21%@17.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 78%@1.28
Under 2.5 22%@4.54
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.84
No 45%@1.98

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AZ AlkmaarModelWillem II
2.80xG1.16
59%Ball possession41%
22Shots10
12Shots on goal4
9Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
10Fouls made11
AZ AlkmaarRealWillem II
2.49xG0.92
67%Ball possession33%
22Shots8
5Shots on goal2
11Corner kicks2
0Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
7Fouls made8
AZ AlkmaarReal · ModelWillem II
2.492.80xG0.921.16
67%59%Ball possession33%41%
2222Shots810
512Shots on goal24
119Corner kicks24
01Yellow cards12
12Offside calls11
710Fouls made811

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AZ AlkmaarPer gameWillem II
2.8Goals for / game1.3
0.9Goals against / game2.1
58%Ball possession42%
19.8Shots per game11.5
7.8Corners per game4.3
2.70Expected goals1.29

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AZ AlkmaarRateWillem II
80%Wins30%
90%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.590%
50%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

AZ Alkmaar WLWWW
W 20 Sept AZ Alkmaar Telstar 1 0 1.31 10.00
L 16 Sept Sunderland(Eng) AZ Alkmaar(Ned) 1 0 1.55 6.50
W 6 Sept Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar 2 3 3.90 1.90
W 29 Aug AZ Alkmaar G.A. Eagles 5 2 1.37 8.50
W 22 Aug Sittard (Ned) AZ Alkmaar 0 2 5.40 1.61
W 15 Aug Utrecht AZ Alkmaar 1 4 2.95 2.38
W 8 Aug AZ Alkmaar Den Haag 2 0 1.40 7.90
W 2 Aug PSV AZ Alkmaar 0 4 1.67 5.25
W 25 Jul AZ Alkmaar Olympiakos 3 2 2.02 3.45
W 22 Jul AZ Alkmaar Genk 4 0 2.00 3.30
Willem II LLLDL
L 19 Sept Willem II Sittard (Ned) 0 1 2.60 2.65
L 15 Sept Ajax Willem II 5 1 1.13 23.00
L 5 Sept Willem II Excelsior 0 3 3.05 2.27
D 30 Aug Willem II Heerenveen 2 2 4.20 1.82
L 15 Aug Willem II Nijmegen 1 4 5.10 1.67
L 8 Aug G.A. Eagles Willem II 4 1 1.53 6.00
W 1 Aug Willem II OFI 2 1 – –
W 25 Jul Willem II KV Mechelen 1 0 3.00 2.17
D 22 Jul Willem II Jong AZ 0 0 – –
D 11 Jul Willem II FC Eindhoven 2 2 1.79 3.50

Past meetings

AZ Alkmaar
1·0·1
Willem II
  • Feb 2025 Willem II 0 - 2 AZ Alkmaar
  • Nov 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 2 Willem II

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 +12 20
2 Feyenoord 8 +18 18
3 PSV 8 +14 17
4 Twente 8 +8 17
5 Ajax 8 +12 15
6 Sittard (Ned) 8 -1 14
7 Excelsior 9 +6 13
8 Groningen 8 +2 12
9 G.A. Eagles 8 +2 11
10 Heerenveen 9 +2 11
11 Nijmegen 8 -1 9
12 S. Rotterdam 8 -7 6
13 Telstar 8 -7 6
14 Cambuur 8 -9 6
15 Utrecht 8 -13 6
16 Zwolle 8 -14 5
17 Den Haag 8 -10 3
18 Willem II 8 -14 3
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