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Aucas vs Libertad prediction — Liga Pro

Liga Pro · Ecuador
Aucas €10.70m
Full time 1 : 0
Libertad €4.82m
1 1.55
X 4.10
2 6.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
84%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Aucas 41%@1.55
Draw 15%@4.10
Libertad 44%@6.40
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 16%@6.98
Under 3.5 84%@1.33
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 41%@2.05
No 59%@1.75
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 56%@2.86
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AucasModelLibertad
1.00xG0.86
57%Ball possession43%
11Shots11
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made14
AucasRealLibertad
1.01xG0.28
62%Ball possession38%
12Shots9
3Shots on goal3
2Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards1
3Offside calls0
13Fouls made9
AucasReal · ModelLibertad
1.011.00xG0.280.86
62%57%Ball possession38%43%
1211Shots911
35Shots on goal35
25Corner kicks23
22Yellow cards12
32Offside calls02
1313Fouls made914

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AucasPer gameLibertad
1.0Goals for / game1.3
1.2Goals against / game0.7
50%Ball possession41%
9.7Shots per game12.2
4.2Corners per game3.8
0.85Expected goals0.92

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AucasRateLibertad
40%Wins60%
60%Over 1.550%
40%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Aucas LDDDL
L 19 Sept Aucas Macara 1 2 2.12 3.95
D 12 Sept Manta Aucas 0 0 3.60 2.22
D 7 Sept Aucas Barcelona SC 1 1 1.77 4.60
D 3 Sept U. Catolica Aucas 1 1 1.92 4.25
L 26 Aug LDU Quito Aucas 1 0 1.83 4.30
W 23 Aug Delfin Aucas 0 1 3.05 2.48
L 17 Aug Aucas LDU Quito 0 1 2.55 2.90
D 12 Aug La Union Aucas 1 1 5.10 1.65
W 8 Aug Aucas Leones d 3 0 1.85 4.65
W 2 Aug Emelec Aucas 0 2 2.25 3.40
Libertad WLWDW
W 20 Sept Emelec Libertad 1 2 1.68 5.20
L 14 Sept Libertad Ind. del Valle 2 3 3.85 2.07
W 7 Sept Dep. Cuenca Libertad 0 1 1.75 4.80
D 4 Sept Libertad Emelec 1 1 2.38 3.20
W 25 Aug Libertad Macara 1 0 3.20 2.28
D 15 Aug Guayaquil City Libertad 2 2 1.96 4.10
W 10 Aug Libertad U. Catolica 2 1 4.25 1.95
W 1 Aug Libertad Orense 3 0 2.85 2.50
W 27 Jul Mushuc Runa Libertad 0 2 1.60 5.70
W 21 Jul Libertad Delfin 1 0 2.30 3.25

Past meetings

Aucas
2·1·2
Libertad
  • May 2026 Libertad 3 - 2 Aucas
  • Aug 2025 Libertad 3 - 2 Aucas
  • May 2025 Aucas 2 - 0 Libertad
  • Oct 2024 Libertad 1 - 1 Aucas
  • May 2024 Aucas 2 - 0 Libertad

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Ind. del Valle 31 +38 72
2 Macara 32 +9 55
3 U. Catolica 32 +23 52
4 Aucas 32 +4 51
5 LDU Quito 32 +8 50
6 Barcelona SC 31 +7 45
7 Libertad 32 0 45
8 Leones d 32 +1 44
9 Guayaquil City 32 -3 41
10 Mushuc Runa 32 -3 40
11 Emelec 32 -10 40
12 Dep. Cuenca 32 -12 38
13 Orense 32 -12 34
14 Tecnico U. 32 -14 34
15 Delfin 32 -12 30
16 Manta 32 -24 25
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