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Atletico P vs Fluminense prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Atletico P €70.18m
Full time 3 : 3
Fluminense €113.62m
1 2.37
X 3.10
2 3.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
72%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.62 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atletico P 40%@2.37
Draw 31%@3.10
Fluminense 29%@3.40
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 28%@4.17
Under 2.5 72%@1.62
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.95
No 56%@1.82
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.51
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atletico PModelFluminense
1.76xG1.06
44%Ball possession56%
13Shots13
6Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
Atletico PRealFluminense
1.92xG0.56
47%Ball possession53%
17Shots12
8Shots on goal6
8Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
4Offside calls0
15Fouls made12
Atletico PReal · ModelFluminense
1.921.76xG0.561.06
47%44%Ball possession53%56%
1713Shots1213
86Shots on goal66
84Corner kicks35
22Yellow cards23
42Offside calls02
1512Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atletico PPer gameFluminense
1.3Goals for / game1.0
1.1Goals against / game1.0
40%Ball possession60%
10.6Shots per game15.8
3.4Corners per game5.9
1.41Expected goals1.30

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atletico PRateFluminense
50%Wins20%
80%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.530%
40%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atletico P WDLWD
W 20 Sept Atletico P Bahia 2 1 2.40 3.10
D 12 Sept Coritiba Atletico P 3 3 3.20 2.42
L 6 Sept Cruzeiro Atletico P 3 1 1.82 4.70
W 25 Aug Botafogo Atletico P 2 3 2.45 2.92
D 15 Aug Atletico P Bragantino 1 1 1.99 4.20
W 9 Aug Santos Atletico P 0 2 2.12 3.75
L 7 Aug Vitoria Atletico P 4 0 2.32 3.40
W 4 Aug Atletico P Vitoria 2 0 1.65 7.00
D 30 Jul Corinthians Atletico P 0 0 2.32 3.60
W 25 Jul Atletico P Internacional 2 0 2.00 4.35
Fluminense WLLWW
W 20 Sept Corinthians Fluminense 1 3 2.22 3.65
L 15 Sept Platense(Arg) Fluminense(Bra) 2 1 3.00 2.77
L 12 Sept Atletico-MG Fluminense 3 1 2.04 3.90
W 8 Sept Fluminense(Bra) Platense(Arg) 2 0 1.65 7.60
W 6 Sept Fluminense Vasco 1 0 2.52 3.25
W 22 Aug Fluminense Remo 2 1 1.52 7.50
D 18 Aug Ind. Rivadavia(Arg) Fluminense(Bra) 1 1 2.67 3.20
W 15 Aug Fluminense Palmeiras 3 2 3.00 2.55
D 11 Aug Fluminense Ind. Rivadavia 0 0 1.72 6.20
D 9 Aug Botafogo Fluminense 1 1 2.27 3.35

Past meetings

Atletico P
0·1·2
Fluminense
  • Mar 2026 Fluminense 3 - 2 Atletico P
  • Dec 2024 Atletico P 1 - 1 Fluminense
  • Oct 2024 Fluminense 1 - 0 Atletico P

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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