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Atletico P vs Bahia prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Atletico P €68.97m
Full time 2 : 1
Bahia €103.70m
1 2.40
X 3.35
2 3.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
95%Chance
Bahia scores AS Odds @1.36 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atletico P 27%@2.40
Draw 19%@3.35
Bahia 54%@3.10
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 95%@1.30
Under 1.5 5%@24.70
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.75
No 44%@2.12
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 56%@2.01
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atletico PModelBahia
1.68xG1.50
45%Ball possession55%
15Shots14
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
14Fouls made13
Atletico PRealBahia
0.74xG1.14
49%Ball possession51%
11Shots10
6Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
8Fouls made13
Atletico PReal · ModelBahia
0.741.68xG1.141.50
49%45%Ball possession51%55%
1115Shots1014
65Shots on goal34
65Corner kicks35
32Yellow cards22
22Offside calls21
814Fouls made1313

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atletico PPer gameBahia
1.7Goals for / game1.7
1.6Goals against / game1.0
46%Ball possession56%
13.3Shots per game16.0
4.1Corners per game5.6
1.61Expected goals1.78

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atletico PRateBahia
40%Wins50%
90%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atletico P DLDWD
D 12 Sept Coritiba Atletico P 3 3 3.20 2.42
L 6 Sept Cruzeiro Atletico P 3 1 1.82 4.70
D 30 Aug Atletico P Fluminense 3 3 2.37 3.40
W 25 Aug Botafogo Atletico P 2 3 2.45 2.92
D 15 Aug Atletico P Bragantino 1 1 1.99 4.20
W 9 Aug Santos Atletico P 0 2 2.12 3.75
L 7 Aug Vitoria Atletico P 4 0 2.32 3.40
W 4 Aug Atletico P Vitoria 2 0 1.65 7.00
D 30 Jul Corinthians Atletico P 0 0 2.32 3.60
W 25 Jul Atletico P Internacional 2 0 2.00 4.35
Bahia WWWWD
W 15 Sept Bahia Remo 2 1 1.45 7.40
W 5 Sept Bragantino Bahia 2 3 1.98 3.80
W 30 Aug Bahia Internacional 3 2 1.83 4.65
W 23 Aug Vitoria Bahia 0 2 2.80 2.71
D 16 Aug Chapecoense-sc Bahia 3 3 3.65 2.07
D 9 Aug Bahia Vasco 0 0 2.02 3.80
D 30 Jul Fluminense Bahia 0 0 1.70 5.00
D 26 Jul Bahia Corinthians 1 1 2.42 3.20
D 21 Jul Atletico-MG Bahia 1 1 1.92 4.20
W 17 Jul Bahia Chapecoense-sc 2 0 1.45 7.50

Past meetings

Atletico P
0·1·2
Bahia
  • Apr 2026 Bahia 3 - 0 Atletico P
  • Nov 2024 Bahia 1 - 1 Atletico P
  • Jul 2024 Atletico P 1 - 3 Bahia

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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