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Atletico-MG vs Vitoria prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG €98.65m
Full time 2 : 1
Vitoria €42.92m
1 1.98
X 3.50
2 4.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.27 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atletico-MG 63%@1.98
Draw 21%@3.50
Vitoria 16%@4.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 14%@7.80
Under 3.5 86%@1.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@1.97
No 55%@1.82
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 86%@1.40
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atletico-MGModelVitoria
1.29xG0.73
51%Ball possession49%
13Shots10
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made12
Atletico-MGRealVitoria
1.47xG0.66
61%Ball possession39%
18Shots14
8Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls0
12Fouls made13
Atletico-MGReal · ModelVitoria
1.471.29xG0.660.73
61%51%Ball possession39%49%
1813Shots1410
85Shots on goal34
45Corner kicks54
22Yellow cards12
21Offside calls01
1212Fouls made1312

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atletico-MGPer gameVitoria
1.3Goals for / game0.8
0.7Goals against / game1.3
49%Ball possession47%
12.3Shots per game11.8
4.8Corners per game4.7
1.23Expected goals0.83

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atletico-MGRateVitoria
40%Wins40%
60%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS10%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atletico-MG WDWWL
W 3 Oct Atletico-MG Bragantino 1 0 2.20 3.60
D 19 Sept Atletico-MG Chapecoense-sc 1 1 1.40 8.50
W 16 Sept Atletico-MG(Bra) Santos(Bra) 4 2 1.98 4.35
W 12 Sept Atletico-MG Fluminense 3 1 2.04 3.90
L 9 Sept Santos(Bra) Atletico-MG(Bra) 2 0 2.40 3.70
L 5 Sept Sao Paulo Atletico-MG 2 0 2.00 4.15
W 2 Sept Atletico-MG Cruzeiro 2 1 2.65 3.05
D 26 Aug Cruzeiro Atletico-MG 1 1 1.98 4.30
D 22 Aug Internacional Atletico-MG 0 0 1.87 4.70
D 19 Aug Atletico-MG(Bra) Bragantino(Bra) 2 2 2.57 3.05
Vitoria LDWLL
L 20 Sept Vitoria Cruzeiro 1 3 3.05 2.32
D 13 Sept Mirassol Vitoria 2 2 1.83 4.80
W 8 Sept Vitoria Gremio 1 0 2.25 3.50
L 3 Sept Vitoria Vasco 0 2 2.72 2.70
L 27 Aug Vasco Vitoria 1 0 1.67 6.30
L 23 Aug Vitoria Bahia 0 2 2.80 2.71
W 16 Aug Vitoria Botafogo 1 0 2.30 3.25
L 9 Aug Flamengo Vitoria 2 0 1.28 13.50
W 7 Aug Vitoria Atletico P 4 0 2.32 3.40
L 4 Aug Atletico P Vitoria 2 0 1.65 7.00

Past meetings

Atletico-MG
0·2·3
Vitoria
  • Mar 2026 Vitoria 2 - 0 Atletico-MG
  • Aug 2025 Vitoria 1 - 0 Atletico-MG
  • Apr 2025 Atletico-MG 2 - 2 Vitoria
  • Oct 2024 Atletico-MG 2 - 2 Vitoria
  • Jun 2024 Vitoria 4 - 2 Atletico-MG

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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