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Atletico-MG vs Santos prediction — CONMEBOL Sudamericana

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · World
Atletico-MG(Bra) €96.70m
Full time 4 : 2 First leg0:2
Santos(Bra) €102.60m
1 1.98
X 3.60
2 4.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
84%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.35 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atletico-MG 53%@1.98
Draw 26%@3.60
Santos 21%@4.35
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 16%@7.09
Under 3.5 84%@1.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@1.93
No 55%@1.97
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 79%@1.45
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atletico-MGModelSantos
1.43xG1.06
50%Ball possession50%
15Shots11
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made13
Atletico-MGRealSantos
1.61xG1.71
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots17
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks6
0Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made10
Atletico-MGReal · ModelSantos
1.611.43xG1.711.06
49%50%Ball possession51%50%
1215Shots1711
55Shots on goal44
45Corner kicks64
02Yellow cards22
21Offside calls12
1312Fouls made1013

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atletico-MGPer gameSantos
1.4Goals for / game1.4
1.0Goals against / game0.8
50%Ball possession53%
13.0Shots per game13.6
4.5Corners per game5.0
1.25Expected goals1.22

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atletico-MGRateSantos
50%Wins60%
80%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atletico-MG(Bra) WDWLL
W 3 Oct Atletico-MG Bragantino 1 0 2.20 3.60
D 19 Sept Atletico-MG Chapecoense-sc 1 1 1.40 8.50
W 12 Sept Atletico-MG Fluminense 3 1 2.04 3.90
L 9 Sept Santos(Bra) Atletico-MG(Bra) 2 0 2.40 3.70
L 5 Sept Sao Paulo Atletico-MG 2 0 2.00 4.15
W 2 Sept Atletico-MG Cruzeiro 2 1 2.65 3.05
W 29 Aug Atletico-MG Vitoria 2 1 1.98 4.50
D 26 Aug Cruzeiro Atletico-MG 1 1 1.98 4.30
D 22 Aug Internacional Atletico-MG 0 0 1.87 4.70
D 19 Aug Atletico-MG(Bra) Bragantino(Bra) 2 2 2.57 3.05
Santos(Bra) WWWWW
W 3 Oct Sao Paulo Santos 1 2 2.12 3.75
W 19 Sept Remo Santos 1 2 3.05 2.35
W 13 Sept Santos Cruzeiro 2 1 2.63 2.72
W 9 Sept Santos(Bra) Atletico-MG(Bra) 2 0 2.40 3.70
W 6 Sept Internacional Santos 2 3 2.05 4.20
D 3 Sept Santos Palmeiras 0 0 2.55 2.85
W 30 Aug Corinthians Santos 0 1 1.90 4.85
L 27 Aug Palmeiras Santos 3 0 1.53 7.90
D 23 Aug Santos Mirassol 1 1 1.82 4.90
D 20 Aug Macara(Ecu) Santos(Bra) 0 0 2.20 3.75

Past meetings

Atletico-MG(Bra)
0·1·3
Santos(Bra)
  • Sept 2026 Santos 2 - 0 Atletico-MG
  • Apr 2026 Santos 1 - 0 Atletico-MG
  • Sept 2025 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Santos
  • Apr 2025 Santos 2 - 0 Atletico-MG
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