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Atletico-MG vs Fluminense prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
1 2.04
X 3.30
2 3.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
63%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.28 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atletico-MG 49%@2.04
Draw 28%@3.30
Fluminense 23%@3.90
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@3.59
Under 3.5 74%@1.26
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.93
No 41%@1.84
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 60%@1.44
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atletico-MGModelFluminense
1.38xG1.02
48%Ball possession52%
15Shots10
6Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made12
Atletico-MGRealFluminense
1.90xG0.55
48%Ball possession52%
15Shots9
7Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls0
8Fouls made11
Atletico-MGReal · ModelFluminense
1.901.38xG0.551.02
48%48%Ball possession52%52%
1515Shots910
76Shots on goal35
55Corner kicks24
12Yellow cards23
21Offside calls01
813Fouls made1112

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atletico-MGPer gameFluminense
1.4Goals for / game1.4
0.9Goals against / game1.1
52%Ball possession59%
13.1Shots per game12.5
4.4Corners per game4.9
1.24Expected goals1.17

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atletico-MGRateFluminense
50%Wins40%
70%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atletico-MG WDWLL
W 3 Oct Atletico-MG Bragantino 1 0 2.20 3.60
D 19 Sept Atletico-MG Chapecoense-sc 1 1 1.40 8.50
W 16 Sept Atletico-MG(Bra) Santos(Bra) 4 2 1.98 4.35
L 9 Sept Santos(Bra) Atletico-MG(Bra) 2 0 2.40 3.70
L 5 Sept Sao Paulo Atletico-MG 2 0 2.00 4.15
W 2 Sept Atletico-MG Cruzeiro 2 1 2.65 3.05
W 29 Aug Atletico-MG Vitoria 2 1 1.98 4.50
D 26 Aug Cruzeiro Atletico-MG 1 1 1.98 4.30
D 22 Aug Internacional Atletico-MG 0 0 1.87 4.70
D 19 Aug Atletico-MG(Bra) Bragantino(Bra) 2 2 2.57 3.05
Fluminense WLWWD
W 20 Sept Corinthians Fluminense 1 3 2.22 3.65
L 15 Sept Platense(Arg) Fluminense(Bra) 2 1 3.00 2.77
W 8 Sept Fluminense(Bra) Platense(Arg) 2 0 1.65 7.60
W 6 Sept Fluminense Vasco 1 0 2.52 3.25
D 30 Aug Atletico P Fluminense 3 3 2.37 3.40
W 22 Aug Fluminense Remo 2 1 1.52 7.50
D 18 Aug Ind. Rivadavia(Arg) Fluminense(Bra) 1 1 2.67 3.20
W 15 Aug Fluminense Palmeiras 3 2 3.00 2.55
D 11 Aug Fluminense Ind. Rivadavia 0 0 1.72 6.20
D 9 Aug Botafogo Fluminense 1 1 2.27 3.35

Past meetings

Atletico-MG
1·1·3
Fluminense
  • Mar 2026 Fluminense 1 - 0 Atletico-MG
  • Oct 2025 Fluminense 3 - 0 Atletico-MG
  • May 2025 Atletico-MG 3 - 2 Fluminense
  • Aug 2024 Atletico-MG 0 - 2 Fluminense
  • May 2024 Fluminense 2 - 2 Atletico-MG

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17