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Atlante vs Toluca prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 5.90
X 4.40
2 1.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
57%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @2.45 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atlante 24%@5.90
Draw 33%@4.40
Toluca 43%@1.60
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 75%@1.63
Under 2.5 25%@4.89
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 63%@1.70
No 37%@2.10

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AtlanteModelToluca
0.80xG2.04
40%Ball possession60%
9Shots23
4Shots on goal11
4Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
15Fouls made12
AtlanteRealToluca
0.88xG0.81
42%Ball possession58%
14Shots11
5Shots on goal2
8Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards0
3Offside calls3
9Fouls made7
AtlanteReal · ModelToluca
0.880.80xG0.812.04
42%40%Ball possession58%60%
149Shots1123
54Shots on goal211
84Corner kicks77
22Yellow cards01
32Offside calls31
915Fouls made712

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AtlantePer gameToluca
1.4Goals for / game1.7
2.1Goals against / game1.3
39%Ball possession62%
10.2Shots per game20.8
4.2Corners per game6.0
0.93Expected goals1.70

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AtlanteRateToluca
20%Wins40%
90%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atlante WDLDD
W 26 Sept Atlante Monterrey 4 2 3.00 2.42
D 19 Sept Puebla Atlante 1 1 2.36 3.00
L 12 Sept Atlante Pachuca 0 3 3.05 2.37
D 6 Sept Atlas Atlante 1 1 1.95 4.05
D 29 Aug Atlante Leon 1 1 2.57 2.65
L 22 Aug Tigres UANL Atlante 2 0 1.60 6.00
L 12 Aug Minnesota Atlante 3 1 2.37 3.05
L 9 Aug Real Salt Lake Atlante 4 0 1.62 5.00
W 5 Aug Vancouver Atlante 0 1 1.39 9.00
W 2 Aug Cruz Azul Atlante 2 3 1.34 9.75
Toluca LDLWW
L 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 21 Sept Toluca Santos Laguna 2 3 1.23 12.50
W 16 Sept Puebla Toluca 0 1 5.80 1.57
W 13 Sept Toluca Atlas 5 1 1.42 8.75
W 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
W 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
W 31 Aug Toluca Juarez 4 0 1.38 9.50
W 27 Aug Toluca(Mex) Austin(Usa) 2 0 1.70 5.50
D 22 Aug Queretaro Toluca 0 0 3.90 1.95

Past meetings

Atlante
0·1·0
Toluca
  • Jul 2026 Atlante 3 - 3 Toluca

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4