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Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Pasto prediction — Primera A

Primera A · Colombia
Atl. Nacional €24.38m
Full time 3 : 0
Dep. Pasto €6.22m
1 1.25
X 6.10
2 13.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
88%Chance
Atletico Nacional win 1 Odds @1.25 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atl. Nacional 88%@1.25
Draw 8%@6.10
Dep. Pasto 4%@13.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 32%@3.15
Under 3.5 68%@1.48
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@2.27
No 45%@1.62
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 81%@1.30
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atl. NacionalModelDep. Pasto
1.54xG0.62
57%Ball possession43%
15Shots9
6Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls3
13Fouls made13
Atl. NacionalRealDep. Pasto
1.05xG0.13
63%Ball possession37%
19Shots4
7Shots on goal0
3Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
16Fouls made7
Atl. NacionalReal · ModelDep. Pasto
1.051.54xG0.130.62
63%57%Ball possession37%43%
1915Shots49
76Shots on goal03
36Corner kicks23
32Yellow cards13
02Offside calls23
1613Fouls made713

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atl. NacionalPer gameDep. Pasto
2.2Goals for / game0.7
1.0Goals against / game1.5
62%Ball possession55%
16.0Shots per game11.9
6.2Corners per game4.7
1.44Expected goals0.86

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atl. NacionalRateDep. Pasto
70%Wins20%
100%Over 1.560%
60%Over 2.540%
70%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atl. Nacional LWWDW
L 21 Oct Cucuta Atl. Nacional 1 0 4.75 1.83
W 17 Oct Chico Atl. Nacional 1 4 7.50 1.48
W 15 Oct Atl. Nacional Ind. Medellin 3 2 1.78 4.40
D 9 Oct Atl. Nacional Deportes 0 0 1.67 5.60
W 1 Oct Atl. Nacional Junior 3 1 1.45 6.75
D 26 Sept Atl. Nacional(Col) Chapecoense-sc(Bra) 1 1 2.22 2.90
D 25 Sept Atl. Nacional Millonarios 1 1 1.82 4.60
L 21 Sept Llaneros Atl. Nacional 2 0 5.00 1.78
W 17 Sept Inter Bogota Atl. Nacional 2 3 5.80 1.64
W 13 Sept Atl. Nacional Aguilas 2 0 1.37 10.75
Dep. Pasto LDLWW
L 20 Oct Dep. Pasto Alianza 0 1 1.71 5.40
D 4 Oct Dep. Pasto Fortaleza 0 0 2.20 3.40
L 26 Sept Chico Dep. Pasto 3 0 2.77 2.90
W 20 Sept Dep. Pasto Once Caldas 1 0 3.60 2.12
W 15 Sept America De Cali Dep. Pasto 0 1 1.26 12.50
L 10 Sept Dep. Pasto Ind. Medellin 1 4 3.75 2.08
D 6 Sept Cucuta Dep. Pasto 2 2 2.23 3.30
L 1 Sept Dep. Pasto Pereira 1 2 1.67 6.40
D 28 Aug Inter Bogotá Dep. Pasto 1 1 1.67 5.80
L 23 Aug Dep. Pasto Llaneros 0 1 2.05 5.10

Past meetings

Atl. Nacional
5·1·0
Dep. Pasto
  • Mar 2026 Dep. Pasto 1 - 2 Atl. Nacional
  • Oct 2025 Dep. Pasto 2 - 2 Atl. Nacional
  • Apr 2025 Atl. Nacional 3 - 0 Dep. Pasto
  • Dec 2024 Atl. Nacional 2 - 1 Dep. Pasto
  • Nov 2024 Dep. Pasto 0 - 1 Atl. Nacional
  • Oct 2024 Dep. Pasto 1 - 2 Atl. Nacional

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 41 +40 84
2 America De Cali 34 +18 57
3 Santa Fe 35 +17 56
4 Junior 40 +7 56
5 Millonarios 32 +21 52
6 Dep. Cali 32 +15 52
7 Once Caldas 34 +10 52
8 Deportes 36 +7 52
9 Ind. Medellin 33 +7 51
10 Bucaramanga 31 +10 43
11 Aguilas 32 -6 41
12 Inter Bogotá 35 -9 41
13 Cucuta 31 -12 38
14 Dep. Pasto 32 -12 35
15 Alianza 32 -17 34
16 Llaneros 32 -11 32
17 Chico 32 -25 31
18 Fortaleza 31 -12 29
19 Jaguares 32 -25 26
20 Pereira 33 -23 24
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