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Atl. Nacional vs Aguilas prediction — Primera A

Primera A · Colombia
Atl. Nacional €22.88m
Full time 2 : 0
Aguilas €7.72m
1 1.37
X 4.75
2 10.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
59%Chance
Atletico Nacional win 1 Odds @1.37 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atl. Nacional 59%@1.37
Draw 28%@4.75
Aguilas 13%@10.75
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 67%@1.25
Under 1.5 33%@2.54
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@2.12
No 42%@1.72
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 62%@1.30
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atl. NacionalModelAguilas
1.46xG1.54
48%Ball possession52%
18Shots11
10Shots on goal5
9Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made9
Atl. NacionalRealAguilas
1.37xG0.65
61%Ball possession39%
11Shots6
4Shots on goal1
7Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls4
11Fouls made8
Atl. NacionalReal · ModelAguilas
1.371.46xG0.651.54
61%48%Ball possession39%52%
1118Shots611
410Shots on goal15
79Corner kicks35
23Yellow cards12
22Offside calls42
1113Fouls made89

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atl. NacionalPer gameAguilas
2.1Goals for / game1.8
0.6Goals against / game1.2
60%Ball possession59%
18.1Shots per game11.9
8.4Corners per game5.5
1.43Expected goals1.76

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atl. NacionalRateAguilas
80%Wins40%
80%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.570%
40%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atl. Nacional WDDLW
W 1 Oct Atl. Nacional Junior 3 1 1.45 6.75
D 26 Sept Atl. Nacional(Col) Chapecoense-sc(Bra) 1 1 2.22 2.90
D 25 Sept Atl. Nacional Millonarios 1 1 1.82 4.60
L 21 Sept Llaneros Atl. Nacional 2 0 5.00 1.78
W 17 Sept Inter Bogota Atl. Nacional 2 3 5.80 1.64
W 8 Sept Atl. Nacional Dep. Cali 3 0 1.47 7.60
W 30 Aug Alianza Atl. Nacional 1 5 4.10 2.02
W 27 Aug Atl. Nacional Dep. Cali 2 1 1.54 6.75
W 23 Aug Fortaleza Atl. Nacional 1 2 6.40 1.67
L 10 Aug America De Cali Atl. Nacional 1 0 2.43 3.15
Aguilas WLLDD
W 3 Oct Aguilas Jaguares 2 0 1.52 7.00
L 28 Sept Dep. Cali Aguilas 2 0 1.74 5.40
L 24 Sept America De Cali Aguilas 1 0 1.48 7.50
D 18 Sept Aguilas Pereira 2 2 1.35 9.50
D 6 Sept Inter Bogotá Aguilas 2 2 2.17 4.10
D 30 Aug Aguilas Chico 2 2 1.57 6.75
D 22 Aug Aguilas Millonarios 1 1 3.95 2.07
D 19 Aug Aguilas Llaneros 1 1 1.92 4.80
W 1 Aug Dep. Pasto Aguilas 1 2 2.05 4.20
W 26 Jul Aguilas Santa Fe 2 1 2.80 2.73

Past meetings

Atl. Nacional
3·1·1
Aguilas
  • Mar 2026 Aguilas 1 - 2 Atl. Nacional
  • Nov 2025 Atl. Nacional 2 - 1 Aguilas
  • May 2025 Aguilas 2 - 1 Atl. Nacional
  • Aug 2024 Atl. Nacional 1 - 1 Aguilas
  • Feb 2024 Aguilas 0 - 3 Atl. Nacional

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 36 +35 76
2 America De Cali 31 +19 55
3 Junior 36 +7 52
4 Deportes 33 +9 51
5 Santa Fe 31 +16 49
6 Millonarios 30 +18 48
7 Ind. Medellin 29 +9 47
8 Dep. Cali 28 +12 46
9 Once Caldas 30 +7 44
10 Bucaramanga 26 +10 38
11 Inter Bogotá 32 -10 36
12 Aguilas 28 -7 35
13 Dep. Pasto 29 -8 34
14 Cucuta 27 -14 30
15 Chico 27 -19 29
16 Llaneros 28 -8 28
17 Alianza 28 -18 28
18 Fortaleza 27 -11 26
19 Jaguares 29 -22 23
20 Pereira 29 -25 18
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