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Atl. Madrid vs Villarreal prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
Atl. Madrid €653.00m
Full time 2 : 2
Villarreal €324.60m
1 1.87
X 4.00
2 4.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.26 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atl. Madrid 56%@1.87
Draw 23%@4.00
Villarreal 21%@4.40
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 73%@1.22
Under 1.5 27%@3.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.65
No 44%@2.30
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 58%@1.49
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atl. MadridModelVillarreal
1.47xG1.02
50%Ball possession50%
15Shots10
6Shots on goal6
7Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
Atl. MadridRealVillarreal
0.72xG3.60
52%Ball possession48%
19Shots13
4Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards1
3Offside calls1
12Fouls made13
Atl. MadridReal · ModelVillarreal
0.721.47xG3.601.02
52%50%Ball possession48%50%
1915Shots1310
46Shots on goal66
57Corner kicks35
32Yellow cards13
32Offside calls12
1212Fouls made1312

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atl. MadridPer gameVillarreal
1.4Goals for / game1.8
1.5Goals against / game1.3
48%Ball possession50%
10.5Shots per game15.8
4.8Corners per game6.6
1.15Expected goals2.11

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atl. MadridRateVillarreal
50%Wins50%
70%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atl. Madrid WWWLL
W 20 Sept Atl. Madrid Real Madrid 2 1 3.60 2.05
W 16 Sept Atl. Madrid Osasuna 4 0 1.36 10.50
W 13 Sept Real Sociedad Atl. Madrid 0 3 3.45 2.17
L 9 Sept Liverpool(Eng) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 2 1 1.80 4.75
L 5 Sept Athletic C Atl. Madrid 3 0 3.00 2.55
W 29 Aug Sevilla Atl. Madrid 1 3 4.30 2.00
W 19 Aug Atl. Madrid Malaga 2 0 1.52 7.50
W 14 Aug Marseille(Fra) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 1 2 3.05 2.22
L 9 Aug Manchester City Atl. Madrid 3 1 1.82 3.90
L 1 Aug Manchester Utd Atl. Madrid 2 1 2.25 3.20
Villarreal WWLLL
W 20 Sept Villarreal Levante 3 1 1.60 5.60
W 17 Sept Malaga Villarreal 1 3 3.55 2.12
L 14 Sept Villarreal Betis 1 2 2.00 3.70
L 8 Sept Dortmund(Ger) Villarreal(Esp) 3 2 1.78 4.60
L 5 Sept Villarreal Dep. A Coruna 2 3 1.48 7.00
L 28 Aug Alaves Villarreal 1 0 3.15 2.35
D 16 Aug Racing S Villarreal 2 2 3.50 2.12
W 8 Aug Galatasaray Villarreal 1 2 2.55 2.55
W 5 Aug Villarreal Levante 1 0 1.92 4.05
L 1 Aug Lens Villarreal 3 1 2.22 2.92

Past meetings

Atl. Madrid
2·2·1
Villarreal
  • May 2026 Villarreal 5 - 1 Atl. Madrid
  • Sept 2025 Atl. Madrid 2 - 0 Villarreal
  • Jan 2025 Atl. Madrid 1 - 1 Villarreal
  • Aug 2024 Villarreal 2 - 2 Atl. Madrid
  • Apr 2024 Villarreal 1 - 2 Atl. Madrid

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 +24 22
2 Atl. Madrid 8 +9 17
3 Betis 8 +2 17
4 Real Madrid 8 +10 16
5 Sevilla 8 +1 14
6 Alaves 8 +5 12
7 Dep. A Coruna 9 +2 12
8 Real Sociedad 8 -4 11
9 Villarreal 8 +1 9
10 Athletic C 7 +1 9
11 Getafe 8 -3 9
12 Rayo Vallecano 8 -5 9
13 Osasuna 8 -7 9
14 Celta Vigo 8 +2 8
15 Espanyol 8 0 8
16 Racing S 8 -10 8
17 Levante 8 -4 7
18 Elche 8 -6 6
19 Valencia 8 -9 5
20 Malaga 8 -9 4
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