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Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
Atl. Madrid €679.70m
Full time 2 : 1
Real Madrid €1.46bn
1 3.60
X 4.00
2 2.05

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
90%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.34 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Atl. Madrid 16%@3.60
Draw 14%@4.00
Real Madrid 70%@2.05
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 84%@1.55
Under 2.5 16%@8.14
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.50
No 41%@2.60
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 77%@1.51
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Atl. MadridModelReal Madrid
1.33xG2.38
51%Ball possession49%
14Shots21
5Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made10
Atl. MadridRealReal Madrid
2.28xG0.32
61%Ball possession39%
18Shots8
9Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
19Fouls made6
Atl. MadridReal · ModelReal Madrid
2.281.33xG0.322.38
61%51%Ball possession39%49%
1814Shots821
95Shots on goal36
35Corner kicks16
22Yellow cards22
22Offside calls22
1911Fouls made610

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Atl. MadridPer gameReal Madrid
1.9Goals for / game2.5
1.4Goals against / game0.8
53%Ball possession54%
13.9Shots per game18.2
4.5Corners per game6.4
1.30Expected goals2.56

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Atl. MadridRateReal Madrid
50%Wins90%
100%Over 1.580%
90%Over 2.580%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Atl. Madrid WWLLW
W 16 Sept Atl. Madrid Osasuna 4 0 1.36 10.50
W 13 Sept Real Sociedad Atl. Madrid 0 3 3.45 2.17
L 9 Sept Liverpool(Eng) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 2 1 1.80 4.75
L 5 Sept Athletic C Atl. Madrid 3 0 3.00 2.55
W 29 Aug Sevilla Atl. Madrid 1 3 4.30 2.00
D 23 Aug Atl. Madrid Villarreal 2 2 1.87 4.40
W 19 Aug Atl. Madrid Malaga 2 0 1.52 7.50
W 14 Aug Marseille(Fra) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 1 2 3.05 2.22
L 9 Aug Manchester City Atl. Madrid 3 1 1.82 3.90
L 1 Aug Manchester Utd Atl. Madrid 2 1 2.25 3.20
Real Madrid WWWLW
W 15 Sept Elche Real Madrid 2 3 14.50 1.23
W 12 Sept Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano 4 1 1.18 18.00
W 8 Sept Real Madrid(Esp) Inter(Ita) 2 1 1.65 5.20
L 4 Sept Betis Real Madrid 1 0 6.20 1.50
W 30 Aug Real Madrid Malaga 4 0 1.12 26.00
W 26 Aug Real Madrid Real Sociedad 4 1 1.22 15.50
W 22 Aug Espanyol Real Madrid 1 2 8.00 1.45
W 16 Aug Schalke(Ger) Real Madrid(Esp) 0 3 8.10 1.32
W 12 Aug Dep. A Coruna Real Madrid 0 1 7.80 1.35
W 8 Aug Ferencvaros Real Madrid 1 2 7.00 1.42

Past meetings

Atl. Madrid
2·1·3
Real Madrid
  • Mar 2026 Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atl. Madrid
  • Jan 2026 Atl. Madrid 1 - 2 Real Madrid
  • Sept 2025 Atl. Madrid 5 - 2 Real Madrid
  • Mar 2025 Atl. Madrid 1 - 0 Real Madrid
  • Mar 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atl. Madrid
  • Feb 2025 Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atl. Madrid

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 +24 22
2 Atl. Madrid 8 +9 17
3 Betis 8 +2 17
4 Real Madrid 8 +10 16
5 Sevilla 8 +1 14
6 Alaves 8 +5 12
7 Dep. A Coruna 9 +2 12
8 Real Sociedad 8 -4 11
9 Villarreal 8 +1 9
10 Athletic C 7 +1 9
11 Getafe 8 -3 9
12 Rayo Vallecano 8 -5 9
13 Osasuna 8 -7 9
14 Celta Vigo 8 +2 8
15 Espanyol 8 0 8
16 Racing S 8 -10 8
17 Levante 8 -4 7
18 Elche 8 -6 6
19 Valencia 8 -9 5
20 Malaga 8 -9 4
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